Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Nooners, Sunny and light breeze....55 and quite nice out.
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The SER beats it back for a bit on this run, but it is close enough to smell the cold air.
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Surface temps are "tempered" on the GFS due to help from our Northeast so it may not be too bad at the Surface. Some chilly days near or BN and some 50's and low 60's mixed in when get into a stronger SW flow.
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This 12Z GFS 850 anomaly map is a quick look at why snow here on week one of Dec does not look great right now as Blizz mentioned (for most of the East even to our North.) Those temps are in Celsius. Even if we get help from the Atlantic keeping Surface temps more normal, that is frying up above. As usual this is a prog discussion and not a forecast. Lots of ridging over us during this time.
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Harden seems like he is cold a lot. Dude wears heavy coats everywhere. What a mess the Net's are... Irving and KD looked terrible.
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Beer socks? LOL
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Outside travel issues for Christmas, it would be great to get a great pattern and at least one moderate snow in the second/third week of Dec time frame.
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31 in the Ville. Low of 29. Lots of upper 30's and low 40's scattered around this AM. Huge temp differences with lots of low to mid 20's as well.
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Ben played pretty well IMO. Kd and Irving did not.
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Sixers put on their Air Force Ones and stomped the Ben led Nets.
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Niang.
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Impressive. Might see some 60's tomorrow.
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Now some Tobias v. Big Ben action. Hey, I just checked the MA LR thread and folks are seeming quite happy once we get a bit into Dec. Teleconnections are not my thing as there is a lot of guess work but it's a better vibe and look once we get past the next couple weeks. Let's hope the reality of LR models becomes fact to set up a White Dec. It may soon be @Blizzard of 93 time to show some real threats.
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Oh, I was not suggesting you should be 60. His/her temp may be getting effected by different factors. They actually made it. But yea zones were 7-10 too low for the warmer spots today. MU's forecast was more spot on.
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One of your neighbors is threatening to get 60!
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It's Tobias time! Cannot let Big Ben East win in Philly.
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53 here in the Western 'Ville. I think the central LSV is going to beat me today.
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Yea, sometimes I get stuck in the models not being wrong. I usually do not apply the 3-5 rule to the HRRR since it is hourly. Maybe the temps level off now and do not go much higher and the model timing was just off.
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Weird. A model bust low this AM and now the reverse bust with the highs. Not even the HRRR has hourly plots of 54 and 55.
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They are actually at 54 when I last looked. A bit surprised they are so warm as well.
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GFS still signaling the second week of December is when the BN temps can get back to us...would be great to have a cold second half of Dec. And @paweather something to at least look at. LOL.
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CXY currently at a mild 54 at 1PM. GFS had them at 49.
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Piping hot nooners. 48 and Mostly Sunny.
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12Z GFS has highs in the low to mid 50's (LSV) for most of the next 7 days with 1PM temps being in the upper 40's and low 50's. Slight Above Normal highs and then a spike more AN for a short period. So little cold air on this side of the country right now. Even help from the Atlantic would be limited. Rain wise Sat night and Sun look wet.
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That is pretty cool.
