The low initially looked too "high" and but buffered down and Euro is a MA and LSV crowd pleaser. MA will complain about the ground truth, but this is the track they need so details can be worked out.
At 126 the Atlantic cyclone is pulling away and we have Northern and Southern Stream systems aiming at our area with a high drifting in from Central Canada.
At hour 96, the Wave is pretty far off the Delmarva and it is still snowing in NJ. Most of PA, including the LSV, has 2-4" on the ground at this point. Our poor Pitt crew is the exception.
At 78 hours of the Euro, snow has spread into half of PA from a weak vort near the SW corner of PA. Canderson's final snow of the season streak ends at day 3. At 84 the low down near the NC/SC border in the Atlantic has taken over. Still snowing through much of PA
All these threats and sustained cold on all the suites really vindicates the talk of an ITT period coming up as the models are seeing the same thing, he did pattern recognition wise. Whether we get a KU-ITT is at question, but the chances are there.
It has been modeled but then the models waffle (both day to day and pattern forecasting such as the MJO) so not sure it happens but today's depcition is pretty extreme in the length of time it lasts. Over 1/3 of the month.
After seeing the cold thoughts relax on the GFS yesterday, they are back with a vengeance today. The northeastern 1/4 of the country is locked in winter with temps that would be normal for Jan over a very long stretch of the month.