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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    CMC has a well-placed high but a pipedream at this point. I guess the day matters for accums but not the column as much and it starts overnight.
  2. Bubbler86
    You can never trust a Virginia team with Tony Bennett at coach
  3. Bubbler86
    Euro starts off that "CMC snow system" as some LSV Ice next week....snow in NE PA again.
  4. Bubbler86
    Starting to warm up here. 51 now. HRRR has the highest temps occurring an hour before dark then rain comes in overnight.
  5. Bubbler86
    Our weather seems a lot more interesting than our Western neighbors apparently think it is. (This is their spring thread.)
  6. Bubbler86
    I do think its low temps forecast in Spring have verified better the last couple years. Will see how it goes this time. GFS is 5-8 degrees higher.
  7. Bubbler86
    CMC has 3 upcoming nights in the teens for the most of LSV. And a snowstorm next week FWIW. Other models cut that low farther north as of now.
  8. Bubbler86
    Congrats to you and the new Mrs. Canderson!
  9. Bubbler86
    You picked Maryland to win it all? I just walked out and it is coat weather...breezy and chilly.
  10. Bubbler86
    Nooners. 45 and mostly sunny. Still a bit of chill in the air.
  11. Bubbler86
    People better get their boats to dock then! What is the biggest area of water in Maytown?
  12. Bubbler86
    When I am above you in the morning that is like one of those "Red Morning, sailors warning" things...the warmer air is coming.
  13. Bubbler86
    32 this AM marking the 15th out of the last 16 days temp of freezing or below (Rou) and BN average days 14 of the last 15. The last 9 consecutive days have been BN using MDT's normal numbers. That probably ends today.
  14. Bubbler86
    Blizz will never have a drought of followers.
  15. Bubbler86
    He apologized and promised to be more pessimistic next year.
  16. Bubbler86
    Our plow driver may not allow it. I am not done watching so no punting here but the extreme day to day atmospheric shifts in the MR modeling is hard to forecast around.
  17. Bubbler86
    At least it will be cold. To me, not all agree, that is better than getting into the 70's now. Euro has a 5 day stretch for MDT, 6-7 for colder locales, of freezing or below at night and highs below or near normal.
  18. Bubbler86
    The roads just looked wet in that video :-) It is tough when the models (not just op's... Ensembles, MJO, pretty much any prognostication) flip so violently. The only LR forecasting method that has been reliable is the "it will continue to do the same as before" methodology.
  19. Bubbler86
    The 12Z Euro is comically different vs 24 hours ago. Now we have to wait one more hour for bad progs.
  20. Bubbler86
    We have gotten used to dismissing the GFS for a period but it is rolling with the hot hand right now. If you run through the GFS and CMC you will see they both have a breadbasket of the US low next week around this time and in both cases, though with different timing, the first piece of energy minors out and a second piece to the south takes over but still cuts. A weird depiction but right up the timing alley as you said.
  21. Bubbler86
    The low going over N Central FLA with this 500 is not going to work unfortunately.
  22. Bubbler86
    12Z rolling in and looks similar to this 6Z panel so far (but less wound up) but this is not your every day low pressure for Florida for that system next week. That is some damage coming in that panel.
  23. Bubbler86
    Potted plant warnings for those that jumped the gun.
  24. Bubbler86
    I make those every day. LOL.
  25. Bubbler86
    Early nooners...sunny, breezy and 35. I may have made a mistake going with shorts today. Thought we were headed to near 50.
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