Bubbler86

Thanks for the background. I was just thinking the other day how all of this would affect the long-term drought in areas of the west. Much of Cali is now out of D2 and not much D3 or D4 out there anymore. I must admit that beyond looking at the drought map, I do not follow it that closely. Ironically, I just looked, and YOU are in D0 now. I am sure parts of the LSV being in a drought will make Blizz happy.

So, this is you in 63 days? They were actually talking about severe thunderstorms upcoming and roof collpases!

25 degrees with sustained around 25ish miles per hour right now. Gusts into the 30's. Pretty cold out. WC of 9.

Meso's have them getting most of their additional snow this afternoon and evening.

Cumberland is a safe spot apparently.

Except for the cutter which RUINS our BN run of recent, the entire GFS and GEFS suite is BN high temp wise until the last day or two of March. Almost halfway through the month and the average temp at MDT is 40.3 which is less than the 40.8 for Feb and just .6 higher than the 39.7 for Jan. There is still a chance that March ends up colder than Jan or Feb. I would not bet on it but with about 2 weeks to go, it is positioned to challenge if the GFS is close to right temp wise.

Spring cancel (March and Early April at least)?

Chilly 25 this AM. Looks like scattered snow throughout the state...not sure if all reaching the ground.

There is a WSW out now within an hour or so of Lanco. :-)

Circled below would really piss me off. Using TT on purpose to illustrate winter weather vs. just snow.

The average temp so far this month, at MDT, is 41.1. That is only .3 over the Feb average temp that ended at 40.8.

Rouzerville-Mulch Topper USA. Light snow right now. High today a very BN 35.

35 and light snow commencing. Lanco continues to be real close to some real snow Tue AM. HRRR has it and others are close.

Good to see someone in our forum with a WSW,

That is crazy low despite the totals so far.

No matter what happens in the next few weeks, this winter sucked hard. There is a convo on the MA board about it not being cold and it has some merit though the whys are not apparent, IMO. I am still going to enjoy watching the models try to forecast the rest of the month.

24 this AM with lowering clouds.

I did not see it so you will have to share :-)

It seems some areas Northeast of us are going to have "not so bad" records for snow this season because of the late season come back. The Mid-Atlantic is going to be a big loser if we do not get one of the ITT's over the next 2 weeks.

Like I mentioned before, the pattern is supportive of a cutter and a ridge of High Pressure temporarily setting up in the south east. This will turn the flow for us from the South West so it is going to be AN for a few days.

High of 38 here today. Looks like MDT got to 43.

Glass half empty on bad info is just bad all around. That chart I just posted....in 1900 the temp did not go above 20 on March 17th. Talk about "throw another log on the fire".

LOL, I took his post as being right. I should have checked. I see the normal today for MDT is 49 (rounded). That means the forecast and modeled high temps at MDT are well BN every day over the next 5. Speaking of normal, it is not right now here. Wind chill of 18 and downright miserable out.

From what I have seen, the normal NWS Zone forecast very much follow modeled temps. I think it is rare that an NWS met deviates much from modeled temps outside 24-36 hours in advance when some meso/local forecasting skill is shown. Right now, your local NWS forecast shows near 50 for the 16th and near 60 for the 17th because most models are showing a system cutting to the west. Prior to that it is below or near normal. A few days ago, my zone said snow for tomorrow, now it says rain...models changed their depiction of the system.