32 this AM marking the 15th out of the last 16 days temp of freezing or below (Rou) and BN average days 14 of the last 15. The last 9 consecutive days have been BN using MDT's normal numbers. That probably ends today.
Our plow driver may not allow it. I am not done watching so no punting here but the extreme day to day atmospheric shifts in the MR modeling is hard to forecast around.
At least it will be cold. To me, not all agree, that is better than getting into the 70's now. Euro has a 5 day stretch for MDT, 6-7 for colder locales, of freezing or below at night and highs below or near normal.
The roads just looked wet in that video :-)
It is tough when the models (not just op's... Ensembles, MJO, pretty much any prognostication) flip so violently. The only LR forecasting method that has been reliable is the "it will continue to do the same as before" methodology.
We have gotten used to dismissing the GFS for a period but it is rolling with the hot hand right now. If you run through the GFS and CMC you will see they both have a breadbasket of the US low next week around this time and in both cases, though with different timing, the first piece of energy minors out and a second piece to the south takes over but still cuts. A weird depiction but right up the timing alley as you said.
12Z rolling in and looks similar to this 6Z panel so far (but less wound up) but this is not your every day low pressure for Florida for that system next week. That is some damage coming in that panel.
Yes, and near record cold. As they say on the MA board, another way to lose. Speaking of cold the CMC did really well with spring cold last year and has colder areas of the LSV getting into the teens Mon and Tue AM.