Bubbler86

Long range meso wise, the 18Z Rgem moved toward the Nam with bringing Wave one in a bit north for the LSV but snow for much of PA otherwise.

I am a model apologist, so I try to find the silver lining unless a bunch of people are inflating a model for no reason...and the NoGaps/Navgem seems more fitting for summer/'Cane season from what I have seen. I mentioned NoGaps because NavGem replaced it but not sure, winter weather wise, it has shed the NoGaps rep. Funny comment about the NavGem in this article. Even a "King Euro" mention. Did @paweather write this? https://www.tallahassee.com/story/news/2022/07/21/2022-hurricane-models-rankings-model-track-storm-season-florida-weathertiger/10113979002/

All that matters is what MU says. FU or KU?

Exactly though the highlighted word out did me today as to dictionary word of the day speak.

Maybe this was one of your Ideas of March...more PBP.

Not often we get to PBP 3 storms in a 240 run.

It cut up and now it's being blocked and just not sure where not sure where to go. Will not get resolution on this one through 240.

It seems to have a bit of a weakness to cut up in to.

ITT2 opens the door for the cold train to pull in over the Northeast. LSV highs struggle to breach 35-37 on Tue and Wed next week (modeled)

And the JMA

Scranton just lost 30" between 0Z and 12Z.

That was what I meant about complaining with the ground truth. Good track to start for the MA but the cold is not deep enough on the Euro.

At 150 low in the Delmarva and most have changed to rain....

NOT the post of the day! (LOL- kidding...but the Euro has not done well in the MR lately)

The low initially looked too "high" and but buffered down and Euro is a MA and LSV crowd pleaser. MA will complain about the ground truth, but this is the track they need so details can be worked out.

At 126 the Atlantic cyclone is pulling away and we have Northern and Southern Stream systems aiming at our area with a high drifting in from Central Canada.

At hour 114 we have a 973 spinning in the Atlantic and a 998 coming through the lower Ohio Valley/Upper TN Valley.

At hour 96, the Wave is pretty far off the Delmarva and it is still snowing in NJ. Most of PA, including the LSV, has 2-4" on the ground at this point. Our poor Pitt crew is the exception.

At 78 hours of the Euro, snow has spread into half of PA from a weak vort near the SW corner of PA. Canderson's final snow of the season streak ends at day 3. At 84 the low down near the NC/SC border in the Atlantic has taken over. Still snowing through much of PA

LOL, discussion in MA what the term flush hit means. A foot? 6"? LOL

UK for ITT1. I do not have the good access so can just see some of the info. Snow spreading into the LSV at the end from ITT2.

Agreed. Just for fun, check out the end of the GFS.

The CMC drops a whole bunch of snow on Myra with a system gathering day 10.

All these threats and sustained cold on all the suites really vindicates the talk of an ITT period coming up as the models are seeing the same thing, he did pattern recognition wise. Whether we get a KU-ITT is at question, but the chances are there.

Myra needs some of her stats padded. Nooners...39 and sunny.