The models show colder temperatures. Could they be wrong? Sure. The temps are forecast to be warmer for 2-3 days due to a low cutting to our west. Over this winter, LSV actual temps have pretty consistently been going above models temps.
Final tallies at 10:1 show the 25" line extending well into NE PA and the 12" Line extending back into the northern areas of this forum (pr right beside them). About 1/2-1" on average in Lanco. For Northern PA a few inches of that is today/tonight.
Landfall into New England as a 979. This whole process still needs watched ever down here. The snow Tue AM in Lanco is with temps at or below freezing.
Would need it to tuck/turn to get eastern parts of this forum in later panels. It is party far off the NE coast at 90. Lanco does see some light snow at the end.
I would think it would as to the lack of strengthening but the glass half full version is that it is prime for changes though no reason to think great changes.
Slight under 4" here. I do not measure in exacts like you do but fairly close. Easily the worst winter ever to this point as to snow accums. I know MDT has passed that figure for themselves though so it will not go down as the worst there.
That is fair re your forecast...but the models show it so still keeping an eye on it. The CMC depiction is near record breaking cold. GFS is just well BN cold.
After the third wave chance next weekend, both the GFS and CMC feature the coldest part of March to occur after next weekend. The CMC depiction is particularly damaging for the south. Probably overstated. GFS is also cold but not to this extent.
ITT3 features a wave forming on a cold front next week. South of us for now. GFS wise, after that front the cold air supply is shut off for the time being as a large SLP forms in the upper mid west.
The interesting but not good thing I saw on the GFS was that it actually had two areas of LP form off the SE coast. You can see them both here in this panel. That is definitely wonky IMO. The offshore one appears to me to be the original Miller B formed one.