Bubbler86

GFS has the 2PM temp at 61 for MDT tomorrow. Rgem 81. Cloud and rained related. Everything I looked at still had Mothers day as a Dandy Chamber day with highs 68-74 for the LSV. AFD talks about the weekend uncertainty and a cooler regime next week. Forst chances still alive next week. Model guidance continues to show a considerable spread/differences in the location and amount rain/QPF so there remains uncertainty in the forecast, esp the northward extent of the showers, highlighted by the HRW FV3 that indicates the main axis of rain during the late morning into the mid afternoon bisecting the state from NW to SE. NAM Nest, HRRR and HRW ARW all focus the showers across the SW quarter to third of PA Sat morning and midday. QPF amounts range from less than 0.10 of an inch across the Northern Mtns to a little over 0.10 just south of Interstate 80, to over one third of an inch in Southern Somerset county where a few TSRA are possible early Sat. Model consensus points to brightening skies from northwest to southeast during the late afternoon as a drier northerly flow develops with strong high pressure building into Ontario. Breaking clouds allow temperatures to reach the 70-75F range in most places. Cooler and drier airmass in place Saturday night will drop lows by about 10 degrees from Friday night back to more seasonal levels in the 45-55F range. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... The long range forecast will be dominated by upper-level troughiness over the northeastern United States. This should result in near to below normal temperatures next week, along with a periodic chance of showers whenever a shortwave rotates around the base of the trough. One such wave could bring a few showers to primarily southern PA Sunday night into early Monday. Then a cold front is progged to pass southward across the area Tuesday or Tuesday night, accompanied by another chc of showers. Finally, a more substantial frontal system could approach late next week, with an increasing chc of showers later Thursday or Friday. &&

47 was our low.

Niang is running down the sidelines pointing at himself like Caramel Anthony used to do.

Haha. I remembered someone was....Thought canderson just liked the red sox but could be wrong. No offense just being nice to local crowd. I have no dog in the hunt.

Profane them som bitches back to Beantown.

I bet some camels may have some thoughts on that if you change never to rarely.

77 here. It is a warm one. It is Mid May though.

Meso's really trending for little rain once you get too far above the M/D line Saturday. Also, a large player in temps as places like York could be in the mid 60's while Harrisburg is 80. As modeled, Mothers Day looks like a Gem though with Low 70's for highs with some upper 60's in cooler areas. Edit-The future king Fv3 does show some hope for the LSV Sat but it has not exactly been killing it lately.

Super Late Nooners....68 and Sunny.

Yea, could get ugly for grass. Should start cooling down as we get closer to next week. Just a couple days getting really hot it appears. It is not even up to 60 here yet as to today.

The latest Drought map stayed very similar to last week. D0 for eastern LSV and far South West/South Central PA. I would expect it to jump up some next week even if it rains Sat as the totals are not looking impressive.

Potty mouths in Philly. https://www.pennlive.com/life/2023/05/pennsylvania-city-has-no-2-most-vulgar-fans-in-the-us-study-says.html?outputType=amp

I saw your post then envisioned this....read too quickly.

This snip can attest to your thought. MDT has reached 70 (normal or above) 5 days in a row, yet 3 of those days have been 2+ degrees BN. More recently low's are leading the way as we head into the last 20 days of Met Spring and MDT already has another 40's low on the board this AM though today could end up AN overall as MDT just needs to reach 77/78. Interesting factoid...the first 5 days of June are the only Met Summer days that the average high at MDT is below 80. Norms for today are rounded to 72/52.

A chilliish 43 here.

With the benefit of the near 1/4 inch soaker yesterday, mow number 6 is in the books. When I am droughting all summer I can look back to the moment as a high point.

14 percent per can/bottle or no story to tell. Lol

The GFS marched straight to some "Summer Forst" next week. After the modeling failure yesterday, safe to question but not seeing much in the way of continued summer weather at 500 on the GFS or CMC. The Atlantic does not want to let Winter go. I would define summer at temps 85 and above.

Nooners...a Chamber like 62 degrees.

You had a frost advisory not too far from you.

Smoke must be quite high in allowing us to dip into the 30's.

Thanks. I checked the HRRR smoke panels, and nothing showed up on the ones I looked. Must have been the wrong panels. They have different panels for different layers in the atmosphere. But it surely does look like smoke.

Sky looks smoky this Am. Sun being blanked out. HRRR Smoke panel does not show anything though.

39 here. 36 is even lower than I thought you would get