The thing I like best about the last day or two model runs is the follow up rain on Tue when the ULL pivots over PA. More northern based but some people could seriously be pretty wet 72 hours from now.
Encouraged that the Nam has stopped its back slide and is a pretty decent rainer Monday. This is not a drought buster, but I am worried for my yard and our farmers and this would go a long way to helping there. Eastern PA widespread .5 to 1.5 rains. Decent west of there as well.
That is 2 degrees warmer than Dulles airport recorded this AM. The HIA is spreading north.
Here is my water company when they send out my next bill after 12 hours of grass watering the last 10 days
I am a big modeler and models have been back pedaling for several days now. The Nam suggests some people would see less than 1/4" so that is not encouraging. The GFS is even worse. I had a nice rain in early May and it has been totally zero (2 T's) since then.
In my eyes we are keeping the stuff alive even if it is browning. I thought grass would never die until 2020 so now I water brown grass. Sucks about the burn ban....It is cool out a fire would feel pretty decent.
I think a lot of towns have already enacted restrictions. At least that is what people on AmWx have been saying. This first step will be no watering yards which is not all that abnormal.
We got T'ed over here. Did not even wet the road. But first drops in since Mid May. The water restrictions are starting next week per what I heard this afternoon.
3K suggests some stuff will form in the next few hours...will believe it when I see it but hoping. Right now the only cells incoming are in Tyrone and headed for Harrisburg but weakeneing.