Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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That was the king of surprises for me personally.
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I think the last thing I read was that the Nam's and Hrrr and maybe the wrf-fuls were being turned off in lieu of it. LOL.
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Step 1). Do NOT turn anything off in lieu of the Fv3. (Unless something else is coming to give it a boost). The Wrf-furls are better.
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It has been very bad. Outside maybe timing of event, and even that has not been good, the average day has featured very low model scores and inability to use them for too much detail. With that said, they scored the victory on the last flood watches issued.
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I talk about my grass, most of them have St Augustine which will require all night irrigation 3-4 days a week or it dies....it does not really go into hibernation, it just dies with no rain or irrigation even in the winter. it needs less water in the winter. Most people who grow grass there have the irrigation systems; it is just so very expensive. When I was doing it was 20-30 dollars per night so some of those people are paying over $500 a month to keep their grass alive.
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64/58 this AM. Quite nice. Precip to the west already drying up per the meso's suggesting that would happen. Other than the RGEM, the rest of the models are quiet in the LSV for today...outside a random Meso Monday AM, a very dry period upcoming as modeled. Hope the models are wrong (again) with today and we get a late afternoon line. On the GFS, many areas get little to no rain through August 10th. Euro and CMC are mostly dry after today until 7 days out so not as "bad".
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The great valley is not absolute....sometimes we get it, but it does promote the philosophy that any flaws will magnify when it comes to convection. That blob near Waynesboro was headed right toward us then felt the mountain and shrank like a scared turtle. Out here we are stuck at the nickel machines.
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I will catch up on my mows then!
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The sky here was as spooky as it gets. I suspect a lot of damage happened to my north and south.
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The two words are Great Valley. Lol. My wife wants to move because we enjoy growing stuff but I am not giving up my under 3 interest rate.
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Watch the radar loop. It did not go over the M/d line. Waynesboro got rain.
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A trace but thanks for asking. Seriously. Nice of you.
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Run through of the 18Z runs and the highest temp I could find tomorrow is 91 but most do not breach 90. It the last AN high day in quite some time per the globals. Aug 10th is the next on the 12Z GFS. Incredible stretch of temps could be upcoming.
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Nice rhyme. It is taking up about half the county.
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MDT ended up topping out at 94 or 95 and 103.
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Storms entering the LSV.
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91 at R'ville. MDT holding at 93. MDT's lower temps really holding back how this may look in future review. No one is fretting over a 91 and 93 which are the two highs so far.
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MDT is at 93/72/101 and Cxy is 97/70/104 right now. Cells forming near Todd, PA.
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I checked SRQ and that number would be very close to being right at the end of June. They have added about 1" in July so are in the low 12" range for the year at the moment. They had two months where they received less than .2 the entire month. There have been Drought headlines for SW Florida much of the year.
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There are a handful of 80+ on WU. Most are in the 70's so not sure what to make of them. 74 here
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Sarasota has even less rain than we have had. We are actually almost 50% behind now.
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89 in the Ville. Will be my second day 90 or over for the season.
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Pills for that
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Much like the Rgem from a few days ago, the HRRR is now advertising a rainy Saturday AM in the LSV. It gets much more out of the wave passing by then the 3K does. Hope it holds. Plus, here are the latest on this afternoons frying pan. CXY looking at that triple digit chance.
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Still 78 here. MDT running 1 degree over yesterday at 82 right now. Shooting for 95?
