Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Agreed. The fast-dropping rains are limited on their real effect. Unless we get a good run of soaking rains every 2-4 days into the next 2 months, we are going into fall in drought. I just tried to mow but 2/3 of the lawn was not growing despite rains 2 of the last 5 days.
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We need 1/4 go 1/2" every 3 or 4 days for the next 3 weeks to try and recover from the Great Drought of 2023.
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HH 18Z are looking good for Thur. The models that were south are pulling back North and giving the LSV a nice watering.
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CMC has area wide 1/2-3/4. Rgem trended a bit south at 12Z but it is more than a thunderstorm as to its radar maps. GFS does indeed just look like scattered convection.
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@Itstrainingtime the GFS is less generous at 12Z but such a wide swath of solutions. MESO's seem to favor south while the GFS maintains a much stronger northern presense with the wave. CMC is a flush hit, Icon a total miss. Pretty varied solutions.
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Looks, like 1/4 to 1/2 is on a lot of progs.
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I was going to say it does not matter, it will all run off but you beat me with a snicker.
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Early 12Z's keep an most of the day rainer for Thurs on the board. For those still in a deep hole and those that got less than they wanted the least few days. Rain starts before lunch for the LSV west side. Once exception for the early 12z's is the Icon which skips the LSV
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The depth of the clouds is the thing that is pretty striking this AM. It still looks like a fall morning over here as to the sky condition. 63 right now.
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The Thur AM rain is looking fairly healthy on the MESO's.
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It is up to 60 already. 2 degrees in 30 min. It was 59 when I posted before but it had dropped to 58 earlier. Looking at WU, most of the valleys here are 65-66ish also. Hills are 60-62.
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A fall like 58 this AM. Fall like clouds and feeling to the air.
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The competition for top 4 posting honors heats up then. Pbp's for the first frost.
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Nice warm up for our first WSW.
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Lol, I cannot bust someone for posting the LR Gfs when it shoes anomalous things.
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The GFS 115-120 in 10 days is now 85-90. Same old, same old.
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Was that before or after cooking?
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The Red Cross is available if needed. I broke 30 here which is behind 40 other days this year that I broke 40.
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We have to prepare for those near 115's that Climate posted (not mocking, those were the temps with lowish humidity/DP's.)
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Un 3K line is still strafing the southern LSV. 3K was a tad south with it.
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Take a bow?
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It is down to 58 degrees here. That is some pretty incredible downdrafts and rain pulling air in from above. Getting faily heavy rain but server wise, it missed us mostly to the south. I am just here for the rain so I am very satisfied.
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The real deal is south of the M/D right now.
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Here comes the boom
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That "acid chart" JNS posted showed that it was fairly good for H-Burg and as you suggested, for us, it is the gold standard.
