Bubbler86

My wife teaches there some times and its going to change that town (not for the better) with no local school.

Off topic but they are closing that elementary school there. Very sad for them. One of the best schools around this area. Kids will have to go to Emmittsburg or Thurmont.

Yes, I guess. And I was lazy not going back to prior AFD's but like you mentioned should I really have to do that? Ha.

Probably. I did not go in and compare. But surprised they did not pull it out considering it is about 24-30 hours away.

Interesting as their AFD from just minutes ago mentions it: The main uncertainty for the Commonwealth surrounds fast moving short-waves in the zonal flow pattern, each with the potential to bring a period of snow. The first of such systems still looks like it will impact at least southern portions of the region (mainly near and south of I-80) Thursday night. At this early vantage point, a general 1-3" snowfall looks like the most likely scenario. Another system appears to arrive over the weekend, with the best potential for snowfall accumulations late Saturday into early Sunday. There also remains at least some potential for a brief wintry mix in the Lower Susquehanna Valley. From this early vantage point, the early part of next week looks mainly dry, but continued cold.

CTP's AFD suggest they still think it snows Thursday night. No Warning for tonight though.

In some depictions, and I think Mag alluded to this, the second wave is really just a minoring out Shortwave that looks more like a disorganized group of showers. I know I am not feeling too down about missing it. Nam still shows a more organized area for the second wave though.

Get your banana's ready at 192. Still a bit too Inland though and high is too far east.

Doing a PBP today as I finally have some free minutes and I feel like doing one. LOL. Tuesday storm is a nice up front Thump for some followed by a serious ice storm. S/E LSV is a bit warm on at least one of the levels for a big snow thump,

If you want to see fairly decent consistency on round 2 (not done yet, could end up being wrong) check out the last 8 Nam's.

This is the Saturday storm. 7PM Saturday on that last screen shot. Next would be the Tuesday Storm. LOL.

"Round 3" is close to a decent snow for the LSV and is for some in the northern parts. 3-5" variety.

Yes, Round two is Kings Dominion and south.

Round 1

Your post is meaningless without your snow map. :-)

That's Crasy, man.

It hurts less the way we do it.

The cold push seems to be less and less pronounced even if it is pushing this weeks precip south. We have had this discussion on here before but I think if we want a a major snow storm with temps in the teens it has to be a wound up situation where cold air is pulled back into a storm. If its 10 degrees for a high before a storm approaches its going to be hard to saturate that air.

Verbatim it would be one of those 7 degrees one night, 40 the next situations.

Gorilla in the Gulf early next week on the Euro. Probably cuts but would be a lot of something coming out of the sky.

Yea, not what I was expecting.

Holy "Models cancelled the snow storm". Trends looked so good (at least QPF I always thought we had an issue with ground temps) I am fairly surprised.

I have more of a snow tv feeling this far south though could get a good start accumulating before daybreak. Like daxx just mentioned, round one of a potentially good stretch. (Or round 2 I guess if you could 6 days ago)

I was really excited when I saw it but hope those 2M temps are a bit overdone.

Border MD counties have a WSW so I agree we should as well.