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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    GFS keeps most of us out of regular rain. Not a big snow but mostly frozen.
  2. Bubbler86
    I am going to have to Deb and throw out this DP map and really question major Ice in Southern PA. Most people are nearly saturated and most DP's are in the 30's now. This is a DP map, FYI. Not air temp.
  3. Bubbler86
    Yea, 45 and dry would have taken less snow than that 35-40 and saturated day here. I think we lost 3-4".
  4. Bubbler86
    Yea, being a little farther west helped me score earlier. Cad in particular is terrible here and when SLP's come up from the S/W I cave to taint pretty quickly. You are also quite a bit father north than I am.
  5. Bubbler86
    I am being haunted by being on the other side of South Mountain. My valley is not a good one for weak CAD. We are down to less than 1/4 mile visibility. Snow pack killer today.
  6. Bubbler86
    Cloudy...36/30. Almost soupy out. Quite foggy.
  7. Bubbler86
    LOL. I cannot even tell what the JMA is doing in the 24 hour jumps but 850 does look better.
  8. Bubbler86
    Careful though...some other models like the Navgem have an evolution similar to the NAM. Would definitely lean toward the popular globals but there are two camps.
  9. Bubbler86
    Did you think of Caboose because of my Chattanooga Choo Choo reference on Sat? :-).
  10. Bubbler86
    Like the GFS is really keeps the higher forcing south of us but still a nice 6-8" for the LSV.
  11. Bubbler86
    Yes, partly cloudy here. I was going to mention but did not want to poo poo the good feeling over 12Z runs for Thursday. Its a toasty 41 here as well.
  12. Bubbler86
    Yea, UK's depiction has more support than the Nam right now. UK almost never transfers and just rides under us. There is a reflection trying to boil up off VA Beach at hour 78 but it never really takes over vs. the primary just plowing off the coast.
  13. Bubbler86
    Its like the anti NAM right now. Hard to buy into either of them with almost opposite reflections of the SLP. One inland and the other a Miller A like LSV crusher.
  14. Bubbler86
    UK continues its insistence on keeping the stronger pressures further east and south and this is pretty much all snow for PA.
  15. Bubbler86
    Thanks PSU! :-)
  16. Bubbler86
    Hey Carlisle, That is actually 6Z.
  17. Bubbler86
    You know that includes ice, right? :-). Its more like 5-7" on Pivotal.
  18. Bubbler86
    WOW, GFS is a major snowstorm south of us through 75. A bit of suppression. Moderate snow in LSV. Edit-Heavier snow gets up into PA a bit later.
  19. Bubbler86
    So is the Nam, GFS, Rgem, Hrrr, etc....Nam gets a light period of Frz before rain.
  20. Bubbler86
    The models that kept the primary more dominant into the Ohio Valley (CMC comes to mind) will probably score better on this system from what we are seeing in short term trends. The Euro had a weak surface reflection get into Ohio but had (apparently) incorrectly started the transfer near the Delmarva and turning surface winds here sooner than what is probably going to happen.
  21. Bubbler86
    Blizz, I think everyone is just discussing model output, trends and climatology. A few days ago tonight's system looked like a bad ice storm if not a snow storm and now its looking a lot more wet and a lot less ice for at least the Southeastern part of the state. I know there will be some areas that hold on to frz longer due to being valley bound.
  22. Bubbler86
    Yea, Nam is not enthused about Thursday but I am hoping it is going to correct on that....but we are indeed on the edge not getting snow Thursday ala what the Nam does but being there means we also could jackpot with that whole "you have to smell the sleet to get big snow" line of thinking.
  23. Bubbler86
    King Nam now takes the low up into Eastern Ohio overnight.
  24. Bubbler86
    I am not real gung ho on tonight being a big deal on the roads at least. It will "help" the ice being at night but its above freezing at many LSV locations right now. Low pushing into S/W PA.
  25. Bubbler86
    Oh boy you are up the creek now. You did not feel out the room before posting this!
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