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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    I think the biggest upheaval of what we see today vs. last week at this time is the lack of real arctic air getting into our region. There was talk of below zero nights just a few days ago but a run through the 2M Temps of the 6Z GFS shows only one night below 10 (LSV) for the rest of the month. This has not been a warm winter by any means but it has certainly not been cold either.
  2. Bubbler86
    I wish more models would take the parade route out of West Virginia, Ohio and Kentucky.
  3. Bubbler86
    And some innocently post the wrong map because the web site or browser did not update as they thought. It happens in the MA forum every day I think. LOL
  4. Bubbler86
    Funny thing is that except for a few off runs, the last few weeks NAM qpf maps have been underwhelming compared to the Canadians and the Euro. May be a pattern thing. The Icon has been qpf heavy at times as well.
  5. Bubbler86
    Yea, the question of snow days is in question for the future but I think there is just a likely chance schools go right back to be mostly in room based and snow days may become a thing again in the future. There is a large contingent of people who think remote learning is not working. I have no opinion on that but it is pertinent in my opinion that remote learning may not be permanent.
  6. Bubbler86
    And the kid in us (for me at least) associates the crippling storm with a snow day :-).
  7. Bubbler86
    Boy, try forecasting off the 12Z (Re: Nooners per Nut) Euro. What a convoluted mess. It's like there is a door opening and closing with gulf moisture straming northward every few days.
  8. Bubbler86
    I think this board would be dead without model discussion/chasing. The science behind some of the more lengthy and complex posts concerning the not overly well understood (or accurate) forecasting of the NAO, AO, Nina's, etc. would not make for a high post count.
  9. Bubbler86
    Not directed at you but I think big picture the constant "The Nam is out is wheel hour at 84 hours" type posts are just silly when every other models change drastically from run to run. No model is within its wheelhouse at any point from the way they have performed recently especially with QPF totals. The Nam has done a decent job at feature placement changes in the 84 hour time frame as opposed to the GFS. All of this is indeed model chasing though.
  10. Bubbler86
    There will be an aleet coming out for sure.
  11. Bubbler86
    Nam 12 continues to deemphasize the Saturday "Round 2/3" with just scattered mixed for most of PA.
  12. Bubbler86
    You had me at love the nam.
  13. Bubbler86
    Still snowing moderately here. Up to 4.25"
  14. Bubbler86
    Craziest thing I saw on the models this AM is the CMC with an emergency level ice event a week from today for the LSV especially the southern part where it spits out. 5. to .75 all Frz. with ground temps in the mid 20's. The theme for now is less cold and more qpf next week. @losetoa6 would almost be in the epicenter.
  15. Bubbler86
    Light to moderate snow still falling here. 3.75" on the non road surfaces. Roads only about 1-2".
  16. Bubbler86
    Picked up 3/4" this hourish so over 2 here as well. Still 28 though.
  17. Bubbler86
    Looking on tt is 3-4 " ending 8-9 am it seems. For Cumberland, Franklin, Adams.
  18. Bubbler86
    Yea I was just using mods to make that statement though both the nam and it icon expand precip after midnight. Both have it snowing until almost lunch.
  19. Bubbler86
    Isn't it still snowing mid morning tomorrow? Lol. I get tired thinking about it. My last all nighter was Jan 2000.
  20. Bubbler86
    Laying on pavement over there?
  21. Bubbler86
    Mod snow here. About 1.25". Streets mostly still wet.
  22. Bubbler86
    Nam looks like a major qpf producer coming up Saturday
  23. Bubbler86
    We are up to about 3/4" here but nada on hard surfaces. Still too warm. Grass that had starting to show is covered again though.
  24. Bubbler86
    Light snow has commenced here.
  25. Bubbler86
    I noticed on some of your posts that you work in PA from time to time as well so you are a line straddler like a few on here including myself.
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