Thanks. Hopefully she makes it safely. The HRRR changes us both to sleet for a period just before lunch. The orientation of the sleet line it sw to ne.
True but not reality anymore unless we take away the drugs. The AFD's themselves are littered with model references now. 20-30 years ago a model was rarely mentioned but now the AFD's are as much a model run down vs. meteorology.
We probably could do much better seeing one model run per day up until 48 hours then 2 a day. So many forecasts are wrong by using model watching...myself included.