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8 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I'm psyched big time about this winter.  We're gonna get two nice Miller A storms in January and a nice December cold wave.

Hmmm, time to go long on winter gear, road salt, brine , natural gas and snow shovels !!  

I agree with your optimism. Been waiting a while for this winter as some key players "seem" to be in our corner this  year. 

On 7/13/2018 at 10:11 PM, psuhoffman said:

So there is no exact answer because the type of soil, temperature, sun angle and strength and grass type impacts this. But MOST of the time a lawn can go almost a month without water. But it can range from 3-5 weeks.  My lawn is showing signs of trouble in spots but I have almost 3 acres and I just can't do anything about it. I'll overseed or reseed in the fall or spring if necessary.  I might try to water this week if no rain comes right around my porch and pool in the typically used areas but the rest is on its own. If you have a more manageable sized lawn I would recommend giving it a deep water or two so it survives if we don't get rain soon. 

Thanks !

Today at least there was some rain and maybe that will be enough to help the lawn through the dormant cycle. But ,not sure it got down deep enough, luckily more rain Tuesday and it might be enough to do the trick .  Plus after this Tuesday excessive heat looks to be gone for a while.  maybe this week is the turn of events to wetter and more towards more normal temps  

6 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Oh I know. I have a pretty large garden. Tomatoes, carrots, corn, peppers, raspberries, blueberries, watermelons, zucchini, green beans, snap peas, and 3 kinds of pumpkins. It's a pain when I have to water it all. But it's normal. There is a dry stretch almost every summer. Also sucks for my 2 acre lawn but there is nothing I can do about it. No way I am wasting that much water and overusing my well pump. Just have to hope it recovers when the rain comes again. 

I have a question in the lawn thread second one to the bottom, can you check it out and tell me what you think please >  It's about grass and watering , Thanks ! 

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

I put a fence up around the garden. I lived the bottom foot with chicken fence to keep the smaller vermin out and then tucked the fencing underground about 6" for a foot to keep groundhogs from burrowing under. I also build a cage with bird netting for the strawberries. We haven't had an issue with the other berries.  You can see in the background the strawberry cage. 

 

These are old from right after I finished laying out the garden and putting down the boxes and stone walkways. What is now the pumpkin patch is in the background. 

 

Very nice, I like ! !  

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

Typical cyclical patterns continue. We had a very wet spring. Now we are have a very typical summer dry spell that happens often. Some keep looking at qpf over too small timeframes to draw meaningful conclusions.  

It does stink when you are a gardener .   

Do any lawn experts recommend a practice I read about a few days ago that during a three week period of little rain you should still water you lawn while it is dormant just enough so the the plant below , maybe called the crown, not sure , is able to bounce back when it does rain ?

What they are saying is even though cool season grasses can survive  a two to three period of little to no rain , that if it goes beyond that you may face a lawn that is dead.

They stated watering  1/2 inche every two weeks . They recommend not to water too much to cause the grass to exit dormancy because that causes stress on the grass and it uses up its fuel / energy stores  

39 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

The thing is, it isn't like the entire east coast has been dry.  We've just been in a particularly bad spot.  The ensembles aren't showing much change yet, so hopefully we can score with a couple of the frontal passages coming up. 

Yes that is true,  there were times when North of Baltimore received good rains and also to my East. But here below Wilmington Delaware it has been dry as a bone. I almost feel it has effected the bug population , less flowers and buds and overall dryness. Anything will help. I see the over EPS has trended wetter over the Midwest but it appears looking out in time we miss on rain to our South or just do not get a lot.  

18 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Looks like we are going to get to mid-month with a T of rain at DCA.  I think that there are only 2 or 3 Julys that have ended up with <1" of precip.

You see any changes in the Pac that might help us here with rainfall the second part of July?

I see the talk of the El Nino standing wave.

On 7/9/2018 at 1:58 PM, yoda said:

Has to get rid of the dry air entrainment first on the NE and E side of the convection... probably will be hurricane tomorrow sometime

Hey Yoda what are your feelings about the developing SST profile off the East Coast , conducive to storms for the Fall season if it holds and a earlier start to Fall or stable grounds for the Bermuda High to linger into November ?

Wonder if we get twin Nor Easters like the Fall of 2002, rememebr those. A signal of a stormy and cold winter was coming .     

1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Nice visible sat pic on Chris..

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=subregional-Carolinas-02-48-1-100-1&amp;checked=map&amp;colorbars=

Will be achieving hurricane status soon 

26 minutes ago, 87storms said:

i think hrrr was doing hrrr things last night and showed a blob moving through dc/95.  issuing a flood watch and not receiving much of anything is an underrated bust.  it would be ranked if it was winter.

I personally feel feedback will possibly come into play if we get heat again and may make it worse and last longer. Interesting the Euro weeklies showing a cooler July back in late June have a pretty warm, not BN , July forecasted now.  On the flip side, seems some angular momentum changes taking place and other things evolving on the PAC side.  Seems August might turn out a changeable month.  

1 minute ago, 87storms said:

pretty phenomenal bust so far and what a weird flood watch that was.  i'm not even sure we received a sprinkle here.  maybe these renegade showers can do something as the cool push moves through.

NWS Mount Holly discussion stated potential for isolated 2 to 3 inch amounts. what model(s) called for that?  I  feel the Mount Holly guys do a  super job by the last 3 calls for heavy rainfall in my area and areas nearby has yielded little if any. I am not talking a small goegraphic area but rather large expanse of area.  As for today surprising with a dew of 77 now and this clash  in air masses coming up I may get hardly anything. Very, very low soil moisture here now. Last 4 weeks missed mostr rain to NE , SE and West.  

36 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Radar doesn't look promising. Going to be a long dry spell when today fails.

Why is there a Flash Flood Watch in NE MD and Northern DE ?  Been the kiss of death lately .   

1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Unpopular opinion:  SPC is pretty meh at SWODx for the Mid Atlantic and Northeast.  I find them to be too hypey for this part of the country.

Looks like nationwide low tornado count ?  Any ideas ?

And looking at the sun love seeing the sharp declines in output as we approach the solar min.  

9 minutes ago, Ellinwood said:

Cloudy skies all day will tend to do that. Mountains might catch a surprise.

Seems for some reason QFP NE of DC has been well below modeled for the last three events. Despite high precip water up to 2 inches during several days during the past two weeks I have not had any significant rain. Storms have either split, weakened or never developed , just like today. Thought the upper Bay may have had an effect but I doubt it.  Ground water moisture diminishing now. Wondering whether we return to the wetter weather by mid July due to the Atlantic SST profile. Euro says cooler and wetter down the road. Not holding my breathe.   

On 6/20/2018 at 9:21 PM, Tenman Johnson said:

Another front moving thru tonight  and by Friday we may not hit 70

Outlook holding up for June  and will see if by mid July we dry up and heat up some. Did have that hot Monday but very few 90+ so far 

Not sure the summer accuracy,  but July looks like normal on the Euro 46 day ensemble .

I am very interested by the cool anomolies that persist to our far North . 

3 hours ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said:

Trending away from El Nino

Seems that a weak El Nino,  or at least warm neutral should be possible. The Alantic should cooperate. 

13 hours ago, Tenman Johnson said:

I think what we have been getting is what we will get, rainy and humid but not very hot

This pattern of  cool fronts making inroads further south than typical  continues thru  June and into July  Then we do get hotter and drier for 30 days then by early-mid August more of the same of rainy and not hot. I think JJA will have rain fall no less than +5” from seasonal norms

Nightime  mins will keep temperatures slightly plus for the summer but daytime highs will not be hot, I predict Thirty 90+ readings

Wet  Mays continuing into June mostly don’t lend to scorchers , some of our very hot summers since 2010 were already well underway by late May and early June

Tropics pretty busy with 12-15  named storms and 4 majors 

 

 

I like :-) 

And the Atlantic is conducive for A weak El Nino as well, or at the very least not the cause for it to not happen . Meanwhile, and very interesting,  the Artic is very cold. Might be an interesting late Fall . And Volcano eruptions continue :-)