Birds~69

Bruce just called in to WIP. (they gave him credit for last weeks prediction for the general area but he didn't predict anything for this Sun) Why he called in? It's "National Weatherperson's Day", I didn't know, had to look it up. He's a true weenie....

https://www.weather.gov/cae/NationalWeatherpersonsDay#:~:text=February 5th is National Weatherperson's,of John Jeffries in 1744.

47F

This would be perfect for Superbowl Sunday. Storm comes in early Sun morning (3-4am?)....snows till late morning/noonish? I shovel, get my shit together by mid/late afternoon then plant my ass on the recliner for the Superbowl w/a cold one(s)...

6abc/Accuweather noon map: 

4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Overall things look pretty good for a nice 6-8 hour event that drops 3-6" for much of the area with an outside shot of 6-10" in a narrow corridor with the heaviest rates. I don't believe this will be elevation dependent, more so rate dependent when it comes to accumulation.

You're probably too young (maybe not born?) but back in the day Elliot Abrams would call this type of storm a "Quick Six" referring to Birds receiver Mike Quick. The storm comes in dumps a sizeable amount then races out...

Euro looks better....

53 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ukie

Looks good but overdone IMO....thanks for the maps.

32F

6 hours ago, RedSky said:

Hope it goes exactly as the NAM shows so the south&east crowd can have redemption. I'm like tired of snow I got too much. 

 

A "as of now"  Ch6/Accu Weather 11pm snow prediction map. A 1-3"/2-4" inch thing is fine. A refresher/snow on snow thing. It heads out by afternoon, shovel then grab beer and food for the Superbowl. Works for me...

12 minutes ago, snowwors2 said:

I was trained by Tom Lamaine (KYW) years ago...

Is he still living❓

Blast from the past.

He retired from KYW in 2008 and I can't find anything if he passed...so yeah, I imagine he's still going.

1 minute ago, MGorse said:

My offices spotter page is linked below. There are currently no classes scheduled. Probably not until the Spring. The classes are free and are held virtually. 

https://www.weather.gov/phi/skywarn

 

Thanks for the info...I always wondered how this worked.

6 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Exactly that, there's a class that you sit through and at the end you get a neat little card with your spotter ID and how to directions on  submitting reports. It's actually a fun class, nothing like earth shattering but I'd go again to update my spotter card since my address has changed lol

Learn something new every day. Where are these classes held? Cost? Duration of class(s)?

2 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said:

Just measured the current snowpack again this evening.  Ironically, there is only a 1.5" reduction (1/2 of what we lost during the preceding day) despite highs above 40 and sunny skies this afternoon!  Sitting at an average of 21.7" in the vicinity of my hotel here at the Nazareth/Easton border.      

Makes you wonder??

4 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said:

Absolutely, I definitely think that the "trained spotter" was way too high when he/she made that measurement!

Seriously, I don't see how there was a 10" difference between that ob and all the others in that specific county.  Also, don't believe the 36.1" report from Nazareth, either.    

On the other hand, I think the official measurement at ABE is missing a couple of inches in their 27.3" total.

What exactly is a "trained spotter"? Is there a class? They probably think it's a dependable person using the correct method (snowboard) but for all we know it's a weenie...

^Nice job. I would have most certainly hit 2 if not 3 trees....possibly a broken back.

I bike ride at Valley Forge but that's about it...

32F

17 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

18z euro really highlights how warm the BL is... If we don't get good rates, it's likely a light rain. This is dynamics or bust.

Philly Special 3 years ago tonight...the 00z models will be our friend.

33F

2 minutes ago, Animal said:

Canadian out to sea...

Too many Mooseheads, they don't know what they're talking about...

3 minutes ago, Snowcane21 said:

So does it keep trending NW! lol
 

12z GFS and Euro will provide some insight if the NAM is on meds or the real deal...

Damn, NAM is super nice...wasn't expecting that. 

11 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said:

Snowpack update from Nazareth/Easton, PA line:

After temps above freezing, light rain, and further compaction, the snow depth is down to 17.5".  Big reduction from 24 hours ago!  

 

Light rain? And it's hard to believe a reduction of 10"+ inches w/highs in the 30's and overcast much of the day...

17 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

I was living in NE Philadelphia and the winds were howling down the driveways between row homes.  One side was completely bare of snow maybe an inch the other side 5-6 foot drifts. I was 9 years old so snow was up to my waist and the drifts in some cases over my head.  I remember the thunder and lighting and also the graupel mixing in with the snow while we had the lighting and low rumbling thunder.  I think the next day under the strong Feb 12th sun it made it into the upper 30s.  Almost like the storm mixed out the arctic air and replaced it with modified Atlantic air.  
 

Reason I say this last sentence because the air out there at 32 down here doesn’t feel Arctic anymore feels like modified Atlantic air that storm basically flipped every thing. 
 

looking over the models looks like a bit of a war setting up medium long range with the Southeast Ridge and cold coming back from Canada.

Next two weeks could get interesting up and down the east coast with an awakening subtropical jet in play. 

Yep, I lived in those types of situations where the air merges between two structures and creates a hurricane like blast then the snow creates it's own pattern. Blacktop showing then not that far away a huge drift up the side of a building. 

11 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Had a vcr tape with footage of 1983 that did not survive 

That sucks:(

The really cool part of that storm was I listened to KYW all day while coming in and going outside while Elliott Abrams kept upping the totals, it seemed like every hour or two. It was a cold/dry snow which added to the drifting. I think temps were in the mid teens or so.... 

10 minutes ago, RedSky said:

A final storm note- drifting was very minor despite the awesome wind. Imagine this storm suffered the same fate as 2006 in that the snow was too wet.

Still nothing for me has compared to 1978,1979 and 1983 in drifting.

All 3 were great but 83' was probably my best.

I was  1'-2' shorter during that whole period which made everything seem huge. Just walking during the height of those storms w/the drifts was a real struggle....

1 hour ago, LVwxHistorian said:

No new thread for the upcoming storm??

The mostly rainy Fri storm or the pretty much miss Sun one? Which?

24 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

Here is the snow pile this morning. It's about 5 feet high (at the high point) and maybe 20 feet long. Should last a while, lol. There's another one to the right, down the driveway, that's in the shade.

Nice!

Be a true weenie and spray water on each pile every night which temps go <= 32F be for a protective ice layer for maximum snow pile longevity...

3 minutes ago, RedSky said:

31 is the number everybody wants evidently. Got 31 up the street, 31 over in the other corner of Bucks, saw a 31 at Ancient Oaks(that number popped up at 10pm Monday night and never moved I was trying to figure that one out) 31 at the neighbours place()

Something is amiss and shenanigans is afoot

 

Pretty sure Bruce has something to do with this...

3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Local news here (Ch 6/Accuweather) at noon had Allentown total at 31"...no clue where they got it from.

It's at :42 secs including the ad..

https://6abc.com/weather/