Birds~69

Just now, RedSky said:

3.5 to 5.5" in SE PA

there's an odd total 

That's the gambling odds ( KC -3.5) for the Superbowl, already took KC to cover for $100. So 4"+ in my neck of the woods is a lock...

Ok Euro, keep us on track or better...

31F

1 minute ago, zenmsav6810 said:

Indeed she does look a bit underprepared! When in doubt do as the nws! I think her forecasting has improved over the last 10 years and this situation is fairly textbook for the met vetrans in the area. Probably a good call but could see this map getting amounts reduced and moved N & W. 

Considering my location, I hope.

Overall I'll be happy w/3"+....not that long ago this thing was a no-go.

34F

1 minute ago, Kevin Reilly said:

My call along I-95 4-7” with isolated 8” amounts includes Northern De NE Md Delaware County Chester County Montgomery County Berks County PHL to Trenton to Allentown. Highest amounts fall line about 20 miles west and NW of I-95 

?

Think the highest will be SE of Philly at this point IMO? NJ...

Just now, Animal said:

First call

wilmingto de(city)  10 inches

my house - 11 inches 

oxford,pa - 7 inchrs

pauls house - 8 incjes

 phl - 10

New hope, pa - 13

Were you at Reese's?

Fox29 @ 10pm snow map. Seems like a safe bet at this point...glad the NJ folks are getting some accumulation. 

Glenn's excited...he's twitching.

14 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Mt holly first call:

 

 

Looks good, pretty bullish especially into s jersey. They don't seem to think the rain/snow line progresses past the shore at this time based on that map.

Really don't think that will pan out, way too far S.... 

My buddy Glenn thinks it last into the afternoon on Sunday...5pm Fri on air totals for Sun: 

Means "jack" but 6abc (accu-weather) upped their totals from 3-5" to 3 - 6" at 4pm from earlier..... 

19 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

We are torching today... Almost up to 50 in Trenton. Heavy meltdown. We're gonna need that 3-6" on Sunday to refresh the pack.

Yep, 48F here....more than I anticipated.

Bruce just called in to WIP. (they gave him credit for last weeks prediction for the general area but he didn't predict anything for this Sun) Why he called in? It's "National Weatherperson's Day", I didn't know, had to look it up. He's a true weenie....

https://www.weather.gov/cae/NationalWeatherpersonsDay#:~:text=February 5th is National Weatherperson's,of John Jeffries in 1744.

47F

This would be perfect for Superbowl Sunday. Storm comes in early Sun morning (3-4am?)....snows till late morning/noonish? I shovel, get my shit together by mid/late afternoon then plant my ass on the recliner for the Superbowl w/a cold one(s)...

6abc/Accuweather noon map: 

4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Overall things look pretty good for a nice 6-8 hour event that drops 3-6" for much of the area with an outside shot of 6-10" in a narrow corridor with the heaviest rates. I don't believe this will be elevation dependent, more so rate dependent when it comes to accumulation.

You're probably too young (maybe not born?) but back in the day Elliot Abrams would call this type of storm a "Quick Six" referring to Birds receiver Mike Quick. The storm comes in dumps a sizeable amount then races out...

Euro looks better....

53 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ukie

Looks good but overdone IMO....thanks for the maps.

32F

6 hours ago, RedSky said:

Hope it goes exactly as the NAM shows so the south&east crowd can have redemption. I'm like tired of snow I got too much. 

 

A "as of now"  Ch6/Accu Weather 11pm snow prediction map. A 1-3"/2-4" inch thing is fine. A refresher/snow on snow thing. It heads out by afternoon, shovel then grab beer and food for the Superbowl. Works for me...

12 minutes ago, snowwors2 said:

I was trained by Tom Lamaine (KYW) years ago...

Is he still living❓

Blast from the past.

He retired from KYW in 2008 and I can't find anything if he passed...so yeah, I imagine he's still going.

1 minute ago, MGorse said:

My offices spotter page is linked below. There are currently no classes scheduled. Probably not until the Spring. The classes are free and are held virtually. 

https://www.weather.gov/phi/skywarn

 

Thanks for the info...I always wondered how this worked.

6 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Exactly that, there's a class that you sit through and at the end you get a neat little card with your spotter ID and how to directions on  submitting reports. It's actually a fun class, nothing like earth shattering but I'd go again to update my spotter card since my address has changed lol

Learn something new every day. Where are these classes held? Cost? Duration of class(s)?

2 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said:

Just measured the current snowpack again this evening.  Ironically, there is only a 1.5" reduction (1/2 of what we lost during the preceding day) despite highs above 40 and sunny skies this afternoon!  Sitting at an average of 21.7" in the vicinity of my hotel here at the Nazareth/Easton border.      

Makes you wonder??

4 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said:

Absolutely, I definitely think that the "trained spotter" was way too high when he/she made that measurement!

Seriously, I don't see how there was a 10" difference between that ob and all the others in that specific county.  Also, don't believe the 36.1" report from Nazareth, either.    

On the other hand, I think the official measurement at ABE is missing a couple of inches in their 27.3" total.

What exactly is a "trained spotter"? Is there a class? They probably think it's a dependable person using the correct method (snowboard) but for all we know it's a weenie...

^Nice job. I would have most certainly hit 2 if not 3 trees....possibly a broken back.

I bike ride at Valley Forge but that's about it...

32F

17 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

18z euro really highlights how warm the BL is... If we don't get good rates, it's likely a light rain. This is dynamics or bust.

Philly Special 3 years ago tonight...the 00z models will be our friend.

33F