Jump to content

Rjay

Moderators
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    27,684

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Rjay

  1. Rjay
    ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. * WHERE...In Connecticut, Southern Fairfield, Southern New Haven, Southern Middlesex and Southern New London Counties. In New York, Southern Westchester, Bronx, Northwest Suffolk, Northern Queens and Northern Nassau Counties. * WHEN...From late Sunday night through Monday afternoon. * COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Widespread moderate flooding of vulnerable areas is possible near the waterfront and shoreline, including roads, parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes and businesses with basements near the waterfront. Several road closures are possible, and vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront may become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays. * SHORELINE IMPACTS...Breaking waves of 4 to 6 ft will result in beach erosion, wave splashover onto shoreline streets and properties, and minor damage possible to shorefront structures. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There is potential for locally major flooding (3 ft above ground level) for southern Westchester and coastal southwestern Connecticut if strong easterly winds and high waves continue through the time of high tide Monday morning. The higher probability at this time is that winds weaken and shift to the south before high tide, which would reduce wave action and likely keep flooding at moderate flood levels (2 to 2 1/2 ft above ground).
  2. Rjay
    Yea. That's why I usually wait for the NAM for precip types in these type of events.
  3. Rjay
  4. Rjay
    Considering this is our upcoming storm, nothing is off the table.
  5. Rjay
    Excited for my squall line
  6. Rjay
    Well out here it's prob is very close to all rain.
  7. Rjay
    No one is saying this is all rain.
  8. Rjay
    I immediately thought Hunter.
  9. Rjay
    We'll prob have a better idea about precip types and changeover times when the NAM gets in range.
  10. Rjay
    I have no idea what Lee is looking at to be honest. There's just nothing to force this storm to our SE. The gfs is transferring to the coast. So, sure, it could end up transferring over the BM but by then the damage is done to mid levels and the surface. Plus the storm is flying.
  11. Rjay
  12. Rjay
    I keep telling you guys to be careful with the weenie snow maps with this storm.
  13. Rjay
    Welcome back. This storm is a Buffalo crusher imo.
  14. Rjay
  15. Rjay
    The coastal flooding threat is legit.
  16. Rjay
    I think if it comes in fast and furious there's a 6" potential for your area before you change to sleet.
  17. Rjay
    There's definitely a chance NYC and nearby (NW) suburbs can thump a few inches out of this on the front side. If anyone is expecting more, we'll need to see some really big changes tn. NWNJ and areas north and NW of @BxEnginehave a shot at 6" before they turn to sleet.
  18. Rjay
    After I bang my head against a wall for a minute, I have to get back to work.
  19. Rjay
    That's not how it works.
  20. Rjay
    There's still a surface reflection here too
  21. Rjay
    500mb low shifted west it's not a dramatic shift east at the surface even if an "L" did pop south of LI.
  22. Rjay
    Thank you for being the voice of reason while I'm working.
  23. Rjay
    Yoda, just play around with this so you can see parameter you want. Good luck down there. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2022011212&fh=6&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=
  24. Rjay
    Yea but meh.
  25. Rjay
    Ukie
×
×
  • Create New...