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nycsnow

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  1. nycsnow
    Strongest winds in a long time wow
  2. nycsnow
    Big uptick in winds now
  3. nycsnow
    Gust becoming more consistent now
  4. nycsnow
    Pretty big uptick in winds now
  5. nycsnow
    Power outages piling up in PA and south so I’m sure that’s coming this way
  6. nycsnow
    Anyone know why I can’t post pics?
  7. nycsnow
    Not even near the peak winds yet either and already trees down and transformers going
  8. nycsnow
    https://x.com/nwswpc/status/1744861357915394372?s=46
  9. nycsnow
    135k without power in north carolina 77k in south Carolina and rising fast no surprise seeing they’re getting 70mph gust now
  10. nycsnow
    Winds picking up
  11. nycsnow
    MTA has the big sand trucks on each side of Verrazzano bridge day to close it once winds pick up
  12. nycsnow
    Upton mentions it as well no strong inversion present
  13. nycsnow
    No real inversion right?
  14. nycsnow
    Gfs says we are gusting to 50 by 5pm and gust up to 70 by 10pm
  15. nycsnow
    Tool For later https://poweroutage.us
  16. nycsnow
    Upton aviation calling for 40kt increasing to 50kt for city and coast Light and vrb winds increasing out of the SE this mrng. Gusts up to 40 kt possible toward 00Z, with city and coastal terminals having gusts up to 50 kt towards 04-06z. LLWS develops towards the eve push and continues overnight. Winds become wly around 12-14Z Wed.
  17. nycsnow
    6z nam and gfs bring 80-90mph gust just off the coast, will be interesting to watch the buoy data see if it verifies
  18. nycsnow
    Similar swells as well 15-20 feet and I believe there was no astronomical high tide for last storm but this one there is
  19. nycsnow
    The reasoning behind the high wind warning and wind advisory. The main key feature is a low level jet maximum of near 100 kt that develops this evening at a height of around 4-8 kft. Model sounding BUFKIT profiles do not depict a strong inversion, as the thermal profiles appear to be close to isothermal. Winds just 1-2kft above the surface are shown to reach 50-60 kt across the coastal areas and with the heavy rain and aforementioned thermal profiles, much of this should get mixed down to the surface through downward momentum transport. The timeframe for this generally after 02Z Wednesday and before 09Z Wednesday for Western Long Island and New Haven CT west. The timeframe for this to the east generally after 03Z Wednesday and before 10Z Wednesday. Also, coinciding with this timeframe will be tremendous increase vertically with omega and the total southerly flow extending throughout the troposphere will increase the PWATS to well above 90th percentile climatology values. Models still conveying PWAT values near 1.4 inches maximum overnight into the coastal parts of the region.
  20. nycsnow
    Upton calling for 70mph now in my high wind warning
  21. nycsnow
    https://x.com/weatheroptics/status/1744478180210016499?s=46
  22. nycsnow
    Upton thinks it won’t matter * SHORELINE IMPACTS...Large breaking waves of 15 to 20 ft along the oceanfront will result in widespread dune erosion and damage to dune structures. Scattered overwashes are expected, resulting in some flooding of roadways and vulnerable structures behind protective dunes. Isolated breaches or inundation of the barrier island is possible where dune structures have been severely compromised by previous storms. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Peak surge of 4 to 5 ft will likely be between times of high tide Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning. Tidal piling will likely inhibit the recession of water before the Wednesday AM high tide, which could cause locally major flooding for area from Freeport eastward. Of particular concern are areas along the eastern Great South Bay from Lindenhurst to Mastic and along the bay side of Fire Island, where west to southwest gale winds may pile waters Wednesday morning into afternoon along with 2 to 3 ft of wave action. Residents in vulnerable communities should prepare for the potential of major coastal flooding (3ft of inundation above ground). PRECAUTIONARY
  23. nycsnow
    Upton SE winds will increase through the day Tuesday with the strongest winds expected Tuesday night. The low level jet that is modeled is concerning with around 95-100 kt between about 4-5 kft. These winds are well above an inversion, but winds around 1-2ft are quite strong around 50-70kt when the jet peaks overhead. A model consensus has the peak of the low level jet and winds over the area between 03-09z from west to east. The highest winds are still expected near the coast with gusts around 60 mph (in the High Wind Warning). Gusts 45- 55 mph are expected in the wind advisory area away from the immediate coast. Sustained winds could reach 25-35 mph at times Tuesday night. The peak of the winds may occur in just a few hours coinciding with the passage of the low level jet, 10pm-1am north and west of the city, 11pm-2am in the NYC metro, 12am-4am Long Island and Southern CT. Once the front and winds shift more to the S and SW, winds should weaken, which is expected to occur before day break Wednesday. It will then remain breezy on Wednesday with gusts 25-35 mph possible.
  24. nycsnow
    Gonna be a big costal flood event as well
  25. nycsnow
    National Weather Service New York NY 318 PM EST Mon Jan 8 2024 CTZ005>007-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>073-091000- /O.NEW.KOKX.WI.Y.0001.240109T2300Z-240110T1100Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen- Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union- Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester- Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- 318 PM EST Mon Jan 8 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 6 PM Tuesday to 6 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Locally higher gusts up to 55 mph are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. &&
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