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nycsnow

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Everything posted by nycsnow

  1. Flash flood warning for si
  2. Yea but seems like once some of them hit Staten Island they’re getting real week
  3. Amazing how there’s really not much east of the Hudson
  4. Some models hinting at popping a weak coastal a week from now
  5. Pretty uneventful here.
  6. Pouring in Staten Island
  7. Hrrr seems to be pushing rain back to 4-6z hopefully it’s right
  8. Nams & hrr actually look pretty good for the city and Long Island til late night
  9. Yea Upton did mention the storms will be quick moving like yesterday
  10. Really hoping today bust or stays away from the city
  11. Yea real tough call. I’ll be in Long Island hopefully they fall apart out east lol
  12. Lots of the Macys viewing areas are nowhere near a place to take shelter…. On the other hand you can’t cancel July 4th 250 fireworks lol
  13. Wonder what you do if your Macys??? Tough decision
  14. Hopefully today it actually is a bust, who wants this on the 4th lol and if so hopefully they’re quick like last night
  15. 28k without power now
  16. 25k without power nyc. Sure to rise next few updates
  17. Headed right to me in si
  18. Easily gusting 60+ in front of this
  19. Big time wind gust now ahead of it
  20. Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448... Valid 032231Z - 040030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448 continues. SUMMARY...The potential for severe winds is increasing across eastern Pennsylvania, southern New York (including the New York City metro), and northern New Jersey as storms approach the coast. DISCUSSION...Latest radar imagery from KBGM and KDIX depict an initially broken band of thunderstorms beginning to show the early signs of cold pool amalgamation and upscale growth. Concurrently, increasing MRMS VIL values and cooling cloud-top temperatures have been observed over the past hour, further hinting that organization/intensification is occurring. More recently, a 75 mph gust was observed at Scranton, PA. Regional VWPs from central NY have been sampling fairly strong (40-50 knot) mid-level winds that are supporting stronger deep-layer wind shear than depicted by recent RAP mesoanalyses, and is likely promoting the recent intensification trend. Consequently, given the development of a deeper/more cohesive cold pool and strong deep-layer shear in proximity to ongoing convection, it seems likely that the potential for severe winds (most likely 55-75 mph) will persist downstream for the next couple of hours as storms approach the coast. Based on latest storm tracks, this band should reach the NY/NJ coast within the next 2-3 hours
  21. That’s why I’m not to worried about tomorrow, models are all over the place with the storms being so scattered lol
  22. Pretty close to being a line now
  23. Models continue to show storms at sunset….imagine 250th anniversary and the firework show gets messed up Lol
  24. Starting to look like there might be rain and storms around fireworks time uh oh
  25. Models still all over with tomorrows chance of showers
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