Jump to content

nycsnow

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,105

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by nycsnow

  1. nycsnow
    Saturated grounds, trees taking a beating this week won’t take much to cause problems
  2. nycsnow
    Wind advisory til 8pm I guess there’s another round of wind coming
  3. nycsnow
    Another strong storm likely impacts the region late Friday into Saturday with another round of moderate to heavy rainfall, and strong, to potentially damaging winds, along with a coastal flooding threat. Another southern stream trough will be moving onshore of the Pacific northwest midweek and track across the country, reaching toward the Great Lakes Region late in the week. With some of the global guidance the upper trough is becoming more negatively tilted during Friday, keeping the surface low a little farther to the west. Timing of the heaviest rainfall and highest winds remains Friday night into Saturday as a low level jet of 50-70kts moves through the region. Also, an occluded low will be moving over the region late Friday night into Saturday morning. Strong lift, and some instability, along with elevated CAPE up to 500 J/kg will allow for a chance of thunderstorms. Precipitable waters also increases late Friday night, up to 1.35 inches, and a period of moderate to heavy rainfall remains possible. The is the potential for another flooding event as WPC has placed most of the area in a slight risk for excessive rainfall. Finally, with the strong winds another high wind event is also becoming more likely. While there are a few days until the onset of this storm impacts are becoming more likely.
  4. nycsnow
    Whose ready to do this Fri night again
  5. nycsnow
    Strongest winds in a long time wow
  6. nycsnow
    Big uptick in winds now
  7. nycsnow
    Gust becoming more consistent now
  8. nycsnow
    Pretty big uptick in winds now
  9. nycsnow
    Power outages piling up in PA and south so I’m sure that’s coming this way
  10. nycsnow
    Anyone know why I can’t post pics?
  11. nycsnow
    Not even near the peak winds yet either and already trees down and transformers going
  12. nycsnow
    https://x.com/nwswpc/status/1744861357915394372?s=46
  13. nycsnow
    135k without power in north carolina 77k in south Carolina and rising fast no surprise seeing they’re getting 70mph gust now
  14. nycsnow
    Winds picking up
  15. nycsnow
    MTA has the big sand trucks on each side of Verrazzano bridge day to close it once winds pick up
  16. nycsnow
    Upton mentions it as well no strong inversion present
  17. nycsnow
    No real inversion right?
  18. nycsnow
    Gfs says we are gusting to 50 by 5pm and gust up to 70 by 10pm
  19. nycsnow
    Tool For later https://poweroutage.us
  20. nycsnow
    Upton aviation calling for 40kt increasing to 50kt for city and coast Light and vrb winds increasing out of the SE this mrng. Gusts up to 40 kt possible toward 00Z, with city and coastal terminals having gusts up to 50 kt towards 04-06z. LLWS develops towards the eve push and continues overnight. Winds become wly around 12-14Z Wed.
  21. nycsnow
    6z nam and gfs bring 80-90mph gust just off the coast, will be interesting to watch the buoy data see if it verifies
  22. nycsnow
    Similar swells as well 15-20 feet and I believe there was no astronomical high tide for last storm but this one there is
  23. nycsnow
    The reasoning behind the high wind warning and wind advisory. The main key feature is a low level jet maximum of near 100 kt that develops this evening at a height of around 4-8 kft. Model sounding BUFKIT profiles do not depict a strong inversion, as the thermal profiles appear to be close to isothermal. Winds just 1-2kft above the surface are shown to reach 50-60 kt across the coastal areas and with the heavy rain and aforementioned thermal profiles, much of this should get mixed down to the surface through downward momentum transport. The timeframe for this generally after 02Z Wednesday and before 09Z Wednesday for Western Long Island and New Haven CT west. The timeframe for this to the east generally after 03Z Wednesday and before 10Z Wednesday. Also, coinciding with this timeframe will be tremendous increase vertically with omega and the total southerly flow extending throughout the troposphere will increase the PWATS to well above 90th percentile climatology values. Models still conveying PWAT values near 1.4 inches maximum overnight into the coastal parts of the region.
  24. nycsnow
    Upton calling for 70mph now in my high wind warning
  25. nycsnow
    https://x.com/weatheroptics/status/1744478180210016499?s=46
×
×
  • Create New...