nycsnow
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Everything posted by nycsnow
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Noticeable melting today and it’s not even sunny out
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Yup…. Hopefully we can get something else if not it was a waste of cold.
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Euro AI even further south at 12z followed by rain the 19th
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Well only thing left so far showing a hit atm is the CMC lol everything else south
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Yea if Sunday Monday is a complete whiff I’m ready for 50s&60s
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Icon would be some front end snow followed by rain Monday. Hopefully we can get things to trend colder/ south
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Canadian would be the best solution for most… was very close to all snow for nyc Long Island as well… front end to rain
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Upton mentioned what the ai euro kinda just showed it can also be a complete miss as well
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Euro ai continues to be way south for Presidents’ Day
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KEY MESSAGE 3... A deep Pacific trof is expected to spawn low pres E of the Rockies by Sat, then track it across the Southeast and offshore by Mon, potentially passing close enough to impact the local area. The modeling has been consistent with the general idea of the storm, but there remains a high amount of uncertainty with the details. Most of the data suggests a W to E, or SW to NE type track, not making a big hook up the coast. The arctic air thus far looks limited, so this could be a sys with a lot of mixed pcpn and rain, with a decent freezing rain threat inland if the low tracks to the S and the flow remains backed at the sfc. Too far out to have confidence in the details, and with the AIGFS consistently S of the area, it could end up being just a glancing blow or nothing at all. Still, with the multi-model support, the NBM is producing a 60-70 pop for the event. Stuck with the NBM for the fcst, but of all the fields the temps in particular may be much too high for the event if the flow remains backed and CAD occurs
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Boring weather followed by a rain threat Monday…. Really thought things were gonna be different after the January storm
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Yikes
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So close for us down here.
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6z is a big rainstorm to for most lol
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Ensembles continue to show only 2-3 inches of snow for their runs but 1-2 inches of liquid… I think it’s time to accept we’re transitioning into a rainy period. Sucks but it is what it is
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This would cause some pretty big flooding issues I’d think
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Almost all of us
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18z GFS is a parade of rain storms
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Rain to snow to snow (can’t tell without precip maps) on AIGFS
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Who’s got the updated totals for mass? Someone’s gotta be at 18-20 by now
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Euro only went 1000 miles south in 24 hours, its gonna take til probably Wednesday til we have a clue
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Euro ai don’t have much snow for nyc south so it’s prob rain
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Euro says dry
