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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. If someone tries to post a snow depth map, it’s an insta-ban
  2. DT going with the euro for this event. Wow, didn't see that coming.
  3. I like the setup for V-day a lot. Simple, classic. Just got a shit airmass ahead of it which leads to the need for a needle threading with the northern stream. But if it fails, there’s more chances beyond.
  4. Only the new gfs could take such a perfect setup and turn it into a rainstorm. I’m sending a strongly worded email to NCEP to correct the 12z run.
  5. I think we have 3 storm windows right now that we can see in the medium-long range: 13-14th. 18-19th. ~22-25th that you and others have been mentioning for a week already. and I’m sure there would be more chances beyond that.
  6. GEFS looks pretty loaded to me. Mean track for the 13-15 period is to our south. And then a couple periods with something big potentially after the 18th.
  7. I thought 0z GEFS was the best look yet for that PD period. 6z GEFS a bit more south, but these are all small changes for 15 days out.
  8. @griteater…could this strat weakening be similar to early January? Where a growing -NAO helped weaken the strat vortex which reinforced -NAO?
  9. All those ensemble means showing troughing in the 50/50 region as well. I don’t know if we get a HECS, but seems like it would take incredible bad luck to not get a really nice event later this month.
  10. I think it was early January 2017? We had this amazing look for a huge overrunning event that was very consistent from like D7-13. But it got within D7 and the arctic air won and we got a very cold, but mostly dry, week in January. Think we got a small clipper to drop a dusting-2".
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