strongwxnc

SO67 VRB02KT 30.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0/0200Z 68 VRB02KT 31.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 260131/0300Z 69 VRB02KT 30.8F SNOW 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.014 9:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0 260131/0400Z 70 03003KT 31.0F SNOW 11:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.023 10:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.04 100| 0| 0 260131/0500Z 71 03003KT 30.6F SNOW 11:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 10:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06 100| 0| 0 260131/0600Z 72 03004KT 30.3F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 10:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 260131/0700Z 73 03005KT 29.6F SNOW 14:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 10:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 100| 0| 0 260131/0800Z 74 04005KT 28.5F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 10:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.10 100| 0| 0 260131/0900Z 75 04006KT 27.8F SNOW 16:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 11:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11 100| 0| 0 260131/1000Z 76 05006KT 26.7F SNOW 14:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 11:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11 100| 0| 0 260131/1100Z 77 05006KT 26.3F SNOW 15:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 12:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.13 100| 0| 0 260131/1200Z 78 04006KT 26.0F SNOW 14:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 12:1| 1.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 260131/1300Z 79 04007KT 25.4F SNOW 14:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.021 12:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.17 100| 0| 0 260131/1400Z 80 04008KT 25.6F SNOW 13:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 12:1| 2.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.19 100| 0| 0 260131/1500Z 81 04009KT 26.0F SNOW 16:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 13:1| 2.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.21 100| 0| 0 260131/1600Z 82 05009KT 25.8F SNOW 19:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.029 13:1| 3.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.24 100| 0| 0 260131/1700Z 83 05010KT 25.4F SNOW 21:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.039 14:1| 4.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.28 100| 0| 0 260131/1800Z 84 04011KT 24.9F SNOW 25:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.039 16:1| 5.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 260131/1900Z 85 05010KT 24.7F SNOW 26:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.039 17:1| 6.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.36 100| 0| 0 260131/2000Z 86 05010KT 24.7F SNOW 24:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.038 17:1| 6.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0 260131/2100Z 87 05009KT 24.5F SNOW 24:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.036 18:1| 7.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.43 100| 0| 0 260131/2200Z 88 04007KT 24.5F SNOW 25:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.035 18:1| 8.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.47 100| 0| 0 260131/2300Z 89 35010KT 23.3F SNOW 29:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.046 19:1| 10.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.51 100| 0| 0 260201/0000Z 90 33011KT 19.7F SNOW 13:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 19:1| 10.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.53 100| 0| 0 Some high ratio showing up for KHKY on the 06GFS.

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 627 AM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 Key message 3: Confidence is increasing that a significant winter weather event will impact at least a portion of the forecast area from Friday night through Saturday, with snow expected to be the primary precipitation type. Due to cold temperatures leading up to the event, impacts to travel could be significant. An intense short wave trough/evolving upper low is forecast to dig from the Corn Belt at the start of the period, to the Tenn Valley by Sat afternoon before the center of the upper low passes over, or just south of our CWA late Saturday...becoming increasingly negatively tilted w/ strong downstream diffluence as time passes. The timing of the development of this diffluence will be key in determining the placement and timing of cyclogenesis near the Southeast Coast Fri night/Saturday and associated sensible weather impacts for our forecast area. What is becoming clear is that surface development will occur close enough to the coast to allow frontogenetically-forced moisture and lift to impact at least the eastern half of the CWA Fri night into Saturday. PoPs have been increased to likely in these areas by Saturday morning...with at least solid chances across the western half. In terms of the precip type, temperatures may borderline at the RA/SN boundary for some areas at the beginning of the event, but all locations should quickly transition to snow as cold advection intensifies on the west side of the developing cyclone. In terms of QPF, the general consensus among deterministic and ensemble guidance is in the 0.25-0.5" range for much of the area, with the higher end of that range being more probable along/east of the I-77 corridor. However, with forecast profiles quickly cooling to well-below freezing through a deep layer, and surface temps that are expected to linger in the 20s, snow ratios look to be higher than the textbook 10:1 rule of thumb with this event, with snow ratio guidance from the National Blend of Models suggesting ratios of 15-20:1 are very possible. Based upon the latest NBM probabilistic guidance...which is largely supported by the individual ensemble systems of the ECMWF/Canadian/GFS, much of the forecast area will likely see at least Advisory-level snowfall, with solid chances for Warning-level snow of 3" or over areas roughly east of I-26. Much of this event is beyond the short term...and so some degree of deterministic run-to-run model shenanigans are to be expected over the next 24 hours or so, with single model runs depicting jogs to the east (less snow) or to the west (more snow) to be expected, but the key point is that at least Winter Weather Advisory-level snowfall now appears likely across all but the western quarter of the CWA by the end of Saturday.

Yup. Shows Snow starting around 1 Am Saturday and ending around 1 AM Sunday for our area as a whole. with 4" totals.

Dan OG of these weather boards.

The mountain we have to climb is time. Its ticking.

same here minus the heavy wording.

Brought in my rain gauge to thaw out from the system this past weekend. Just over .7 on liquid. Have nothing to compare it with locally though.

Yup. No absolutes is winter weather at this time frame.

5.9 degrees this morning. Coldest in many years.

If so, then we just need to continue to see a footprint of a ULL or meso low development. Details can be ironed out. But hoping not for a feast or fathom choice. Speaking for My area in the foothills.

Digging this site ( https://aguacerowx.com/app/ ) Lots of cool things to do with it. Here is the link to a GIF I made of the ECMWF-AIFS.

06GFS at 96 has the SLP in the GOM side of FL just west of Tampa. .You can see development back into the Carolinas but as it heads ENE is misses the phase. But super close. Then bombs out off ILM from HR 105-111.

5.9 here and also the coldest reading since I installed my station back in 2020. Waiting for sun rise to venture out for chickens and horses.

Would need a good DP to start to have everything make it down and not waste any.

Ratio would be super high across the region with this for sure. Pulled fro Goggle: Key Snow-to-Liquid Ratios by Temperature: 30°F–32°F: 5:1 to 10:1 (Heavy, wet, slushy snow). 20°F–28°F: 10:1 to 15:1 (Moderate/fluffy snow). 10°F–19°F: 15:1 to 20:1+ (Light, dry, fluffy snow).

Temps have plummeted in the last hour.! .

Feels super warm out at 31 today. Lots of ice still on trees in fun sun. This picture is from a shady part at the bottom of my pasture . .

Good comp for sure.

Looking NW this morning. .

Sweet cause Im hungry also!

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 650 AM EST Mon Jan 26 2026 Key message 4: Small possibility of snow next weekend with development of coastal low pressure to our east or southeast. If snow were to fall, it could easily reintroduce or worsen travel impacts due to the cold temperatures prior to onset. The latest models are coming into a little better agreement on a sharp vort lobe carving a deep trough over the Southeast late Friday into Saturday. This wave may provide energy to induce cyclogenesis somewhere near the South Atlantic Coast. The low looks to likely form offshore the Carolina Coast, resulting in largely dry conditions for our area. There still could be some brief NW flow snow shower activity with the passing upper trough, but confidence of any precip east of the mountains remains low. A handful of ensemble members from each of the GEFS/EC/GEPS and the AI ensembles all have some QPF over our Piedmont with a possible precip shield extending NW of the coastal low. The air mass in place would be so cold, that the most likely precip type would be all snow for our area. The latest NBM PoPs are still only in the 10-20% range Friday night thru Saturday. But this situation bears watching, as such cold temps ahead of this system would make even light snow stick to roads more than usual, and lead to slippery conditions

It has light FR drizzle last night. But it is super foggy out this morning.

Some Returns coming in right now. Fr drizzle .

Been through many winters around these interwebs. Im going with a solid B. Cold! It was 18 this morning with SN/IP. Colder than any system IMBY in a long time. That what super awesome. Rose to 29 when the heavy banding came in around 3:30ish. Lots of diamond dust this AM and during the morning. Super cool to see during the heart of the storm Crazy ass sleet pouring our of the sky. Either way, after the super high totals went away around Wednesday I was just glad to enjoy the ride.

Took a morning Jeb walk AM in the snow before everyone is awake is the best! .