
John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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We've still not entered La Nina, been holding neutral since August. It's running later than expected and the chance of it happening has fallen from earlier in the year. Still a 60 percent chance. The strength of the Nina, like Nino, usually greatly impacts what actually happens weather wise.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
If, always a big if, the GFS is correct, the dry issues will take a blow next weekend as a tropical system influences weather again for the area.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The leaves were fantastic here this year but short lived. They are mostly gone now with today's wind. If it rains much tonight, that'll finish the majority.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Really needed some sun this evening for photos I'm doing. Instead I get ultra thick clouds and a rain shower has popped up in the area. This was no where in any forecast.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Actually getting more rain that I thought we would after it went around overnight. Steady shower going that hopefully lasts 30 minutes. Crazy that we just go from drought to downpours and record rains the last few years to drought with no in-betweens.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The 00z GFS was pretty wet late run, the 06 was bone dry. We are probably going to set an October record for driest month after many September records for wettest.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm hoping to squeeze out a tenth Friday night. Fortunately, the pre event and Helene dumped so much rain that the deeper soil is very moist still. In 2016 the deeper soil went dry. Root systems were burning here, well underground.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
See the NOAA winter forecast is a copy/paste La Nina map.- 689 replies
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Made it to 31 this morning. First freeze of the season.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Notice we are ringed by freeze/frost products but MRX said that those products were no longer going to be issued here between October 1st and May 1st. I assumed it was a large scale policy but apparently it's only for Tennessee by looking at the map.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Had a dusting here overnight from the 13th into the 14th in 1977, and another dusting on the 16th. Lots of low 20s for lows in that stretch. I've seen several similar weather events to 1995 this year and that year had October snow flakes flying too.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Slipped into the 30s. Looks like a few more spokes of precip upstream.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
When this went past.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I wonder if that means over an inch. According to the GSMNP website Le Conte averages a trace of snow in September. I know temperatures in the teens have been recorded in September there.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This one was pretty heavy here and it sounded like sleet on my metal roof at first. Went out and it was some half melted/half frozen flakes.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just had my first frozen precip of the season. Graupel mixed in with the rain passing over currently. It's 41 degrees.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Truly a raw day today. Currently moderate rain and 49 degrees.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like it may not get out of the 40s here on Wednesday.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
They are going great guns here too. Seems most of the area is getting a show.- 689 replies
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Got .38 inches of rain today from an absolute soaker of a shower that rolled over.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Surprised at how heavily it's raining this afternoon. It's causing flooding on roadways. Shows how wet the ground still is after the rain from Helene.- 689 replies
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67 today with .30 inches of rainfall. Drizzle out there right now.
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Another .45 inches of rain today. High was only 65. Got back from Tri area around 6:00pm. From around Claiborne county to my house it was steady rain/fog. Looked and felt like late October or Early November.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We seem to have had more tree damage than any area I've driven through today, which is Claiborne, Grainger, Morristown and up 81. Fortunately we didn't get flooding at all.- 689 replies
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