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John1122

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About John1122

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KCSV
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  • Location:
    Campbell Co, Tennessee 1750'

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  1. John1122
    The Weather Next precip shield has expanded west 3 runs in a row.
  2. John1122
    I hope so, we were supposed to have cleared out already but it's not yet.
  3. John1122
    Weather Next QPF map. 10:1 THAT would be 2.5-4 from the Plateau eastward, but we may be looking at 15:1 or 18:1 ratios.
  4. John1122
    It was the best from what I could tell and basically similar to what happened from 5+ days out. It seems to lock on and hold steady while others bounce around. It may have just gotten lucky. But it's 500mb verification scores are the best of all models this winter.
  5. John1122
    Weather Next would probably be 3-6 inches for most areas from maybe just each of Nashville and East, with 5-8 over far eastern areas.
  6. John1122
    It is pouring quarter + sized flakes out there right now. It's wringing every drop of moisture out. 2 very fluffy inches since last night.
  7. John1122
    It's on StormVista and I believe 12z comes out at 2pm.
  8. John1122
    I'm hoping the Google AI model doesn't move SE. It's been steady with at least 2-4 inches for more of the area, and 4-8 for parts.
  9. John1122
    The Canadian run that did so well for us, the vort is probably 75-100 miles SW of the Euro and it's stronger than the Euro. That little bit was the difference between 4-8 inches for most of East Tennessee and a couple of snow showers. It's a fine line. Hopefully everything is too far east currently, because if we needed it to be east it would truck west.
  10. John1122
    It's weaker and further east than 06z, so we end up dry.
  11. John1122
    The Euro is a whiff that run except for the Smokies/NE mountains.
  12. John1122
    SE shift by the Euro AI, I expect the Euro will follow. Hopefully it can work back this way but not holding my breath.
  13. John1122
    It's frigid, holding at 13 degrees with light snow.
  14. John1122
    That was about a 300 mile NW shift by the Canadian.
  15. John1122
    If this one doesn't trend NW, but not too far, it will truly be another epic failure. I saw a discussion about the NW trend being because models mistake something from range, I think it was something to do with sea temperatures maybe, that causes them to almost universally place systems too far SE. Which is why we see the NW trend constantlly.
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