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It may hold down surface temps slightly but in the atmosphere is where the temps will cause it to rain.
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I don't know if winter will be over after this upcoming warm up, but it's unlikely to return to anything remotely like we've had this week with the cold and ice/snow being able to stick around. The Euro doesn't even go below freezing from the 9th to the 16th here. It's head faked warm ups a couple times this year already, but often when the Pacific breaks down in February and a big warm up hits, it lasts so long that we are in March before it relents.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Steady pixie snow here as well. Picked up about 1/4th inch in the last two hours. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I feel you there. They'll put out a wildly inaccurate map at some point. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Light snow here. Future radar shows the lake moisture snow arriving overnight. No idea if it actually will or not. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I remember that. Seems like a strong NNW flow band set up and ran right down 75 for extra snow down that way. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Lafollette to Caryville got 4 to 5 inches from what I could tell when I went out earlier. I drove right by the spot on the mrx map that shows 1.5 inches and there was at least 4 to 4.5 there. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Final measurement before dark. Settling/compacting basically offset any snow that fell today so it didn't get any deeper. But on the protected snow board I added 3/4ths inch today. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think it will rotate east as the low moves east. The NAM from 84 hours out showed this for 7pm today, as crazy as that is. Showed the Plateau into middle TN with snow showers and a break between that snow and snow along the mountains. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
As dark has approached thicker clouds rolled back in and I have steady dimes and nickels falling. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I definitely beat 1/2 inch. I did see that MRX is going to claim my area got 1.5 inches per a "trained spotter". I saw multiple people from this area (Campbell County) reporting 4 to 6 inches to them but none of those reports showed up yet. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don't know if the band of GL moisture will rotate east or not, but we could get some decent showers from it since it's so cold, if it does. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I saw a photo of the mountains above Gatlinburg with 18 inches. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
There's so little water content, any sun will zap layers quickly, even if it's frigid. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I hope you're all using the clean and measure method. The amount of compaction with this one surprised me. It's fluffy and light and I guess easily compacts. That's why some of you may seem to be accumulating more slowly than you think today. I actually thought it had stopped snowing here, but had to look something dark colored (vehicle) to see that some of the smallest snowflakes I've ever seen were falling. I get a few dime to nickel sized flakes then back to micro flakes.

