John1122

I hadn't been looking at the long lead seasonal models. I'm surprised at how cold they all are for Dec-March. The newest cfs is really cold. Even the long range Euro last I saw had us near normal. It's usually always warm in the long range.

They put my area in the severe t storm watch but I'm on the western edge of it. So not sure I'll get anything. The MCS complex last night wasn't as strong as the one the night before last. It was just rain by the time it crossed my area and I got .20 from it. The night before I got .80 in about 30 minutes.

Another MCS is rolling this way. MRX isn't sure if it will make it but it looks way healthier than hi res models keep showing it after a few hours. I suspect it's going to make it.

Absolutely drenching rain and thunder but after the first burst the wind isn't as bad.

The thunder is almost continuous to my north right now. I've got one dog who hates storms and she's just beside herself.

I always worry about really strong winds with these, especially when it's really warm ahead of them. Always feels like there's that downburst potential. Hopefully it's just a hard rainer like you said.

The storm is probably 35 miles north of me but the thunder is already pretty loud and frequent.

Looks like there's been some expansion upstream of me in Kentucky, so it may actually storm here. As Jax noted, probably gonna be a ton of lightning and thunder with these.

Looks like the MCS will just miss my area to the west. Hopefully there's not much wind damage in the mid-state from it. The heat was unbelievable today along the Mississippi river, under the heat dome. I saw some HI temperatures up towards 120 along the river from Memphis to St Louis. The hotter it us, usually the stronger the winds without the storm complex.

It looks like the ring of fire pattern could return. I was looking to see if any MCS possibilities were on tap.

I take that back, it moved from drought 1 to abnormally dry and it didn't count the 1.3 inches of combined rain I got Monday and yesterday, since it was actual measured rain through 8am Monday.

This week's drought monitor didn't really change for my area despite around 3.5 inches of rainfall since it last came out. Surprised by that. Remained abnormally dry.

I only got about .4 yesterday. 15 miles away it was 10x that. After 15 inches in 30 days, I'm kind of glad to have missed it. My yard is out of control and it hasn't been dry a single 24 hour period in seemingly over a week.

The band of rain set up south of my area. Looks like 3-5 inches around that area and less than .5 here. Not too upset by that, too much rain here already lately.

Looks like all the severe storms just died for the east side. Middle Tennessee looks to be getting the brunt of it.