John1122

The Euro is trying to slip in some heavy frozen precip along the back side of the system on Tuesday.

It was heavy sleet for about 15 minutes then it just stopped doing anything.

Currently have a sleet/snow/graupel mix here as well.

I thought for sure Heupel was the guy, but he's probably not. Majors is the only coach to lose to Vanderbilt and still have a job 3 years later, since the early 1920s. I won't be shocked if things fall completely apart now.

Saw that Bastardi threw out 83-84 as a potential analog. He's the second Met I've seen it from now. As noted, very frustrating December due to cold vs moisture timing, followed by a very snowy January and February.

GFS torched because it killed the MJO and headed it back kinda towards 6 in the COD.

Ironically, the GFS ensembles agree more closely at 500 than the Euro in general, and not with it's OP which is a massive WC trough/EC ridge.

It would be hard to be more different than the GFS is vs the Euro in the long range. The GFS is full torch, the Euro is full freezer.

The GFS is slowly trending south with the system on Dec 2nd/3rd.

UKie/ICON are kind to Clarksville and surrounding areas. Steep gradient from NW Davidson to SE Davidson per the Ukie. The UKIE throws winter AMZ's way too.

Congratulations Jeff. I can't figure out how Tennessee blew that game ahead by 12 and with Kansas having half your team out with fouls and injuries but they managed it.

Shaping up to be another GFS vs Euro battle. The GFS remains amped, the Euro remains mostly ots/suppressed.

Thank you for the clarification!

The late month could be, if everything works well, very epic, even beyond this next two weeks with several potential events. The Euro has the MJO in the low amp/c.o.d into late December/Early January. @GaWx has noted that essentially every low amp pass through 8 has coincided with well BN temps, but that high amp passes were not always cold in the east. East Asia should become more favorable soon, to allow west coast ridging downstream as well.

Looks like it's on the borderline for parts of the area. My current forecast is rain and 34.