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About John1122

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KCSV
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Location:
Campbell Co, Tennessee 1750'
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The rain has stopped now but the wind has picked up. Very gusty.
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1.5 inches of rain so far from the system, temp is 55 degrees. Oddly, no wind to speak of.
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Outside of the rain from the hurricane, the weather looks depressingly warm the next two weeks. We may not even get a frost in October, and I normally get a frost and freeze this month. Not long ago models were showing freezing temps around mid-month and even chances for mountain snow.
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Looks like it's an AI vs physics model battle for the path of the storm in the Gulf. Google Deep mind apparently sends the remnants over East Tennessee/Georgia and the Carolinas. Other AI models lean more that way too. The physics models have it moving towards Memphis to the NW. Middle Tennessee looks to probably get a lot of rain with either path. The west or east side gets more or less depending on track. Gonna be interesting to see which one is better and if the AI models are able to outperform the physics based models this fall and winter. The NHC seemed to note that Deep Mind has been doing very well and shifted the path rightward some just based on it.
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Sorry for the loss, it's hard watching our parents get old and pass away. Once they do, it's a short trip til we get there too.
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Yes, I have had some pretty dry weather here this year but last night it poured from 7:30 to 10ish then it rained another half inch overnight. I do average 60+ inches of rain a year though.
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It rained an inch here between 7 and 9:30ish. So the low models for the weekend busted already.
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It's been a real soaker this evening. I'm sitting in my car at halftime of a high school football game since the band was unable to even play.
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The models are waffling on rain amounts, with some at less than .5 to others at 2+ inches over the weekend. I always like getting a nice soaker in October to lower fire danger. There are almost always fires here in October, but if we get a good soaker they tend to just burn the surface leaf litter and don't get deep into the soil to root burning level.
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42 two mornings in a row. Hopefully this week's warm up is limited to this week.
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It's here!
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Nothing severe here today but heavy rain and lots of thunder going on out there.
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Couple of rounds of storms last night and temps are in the 70s currently. Finally close to normal.
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The largest/highest heat dome on the entire planet is centered over Tennessee according to Ryan Hall. We edged out the one over the Sahara Desert. I see forecasts calling for a cool down after next Tuesday. The 12z Euro came on board after the 0z was wall to wall warmth.
