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Running way under forecast lows again tonight. Forecast was 21, currently 16.
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It's closer than any mrx map for here. I got two inches before the ice started, and two after. And around 7 from this event and that has the 10 inches at least close to me. According to mrx I had about 3 total inches. They also showed less than .10 ice here and I had almost .4.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My area is so often off, as is Daniel Boone's that an artificial snow hole shows up on the GFS and NAM over us for almost every storm. This is something like 8 years in a row here with about 50 percent or less than actual accumulation recorded. -
That's the 18z NAM.
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Things look to be trending NW for Wednesday/Thursday time frame with a low popping east of the Apps.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Temp has only made it to 25 with all the clouds around. Forecast was 37. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I ended up at -5.5 on a forecasted low of 11. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sitting at 5 as midnight approaches. Big full moon and snow makes it look practically like dawn outside instead of midnight. -
Temp is just crashing here with snow cover and clear skies. I'm already down to 6 on a predicted low of 11.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The link works but I couldn't get anything done on the actual site. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some social media response to that terrible map. This is why snowfall averages are off and it effects weather model performance. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It seems to match closer to their forecast map. -
Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Here's a surprise. Map is way off here. I also feel like Holston got more than 1/10th of an inch as well. -
It may hold down surface temps slightly but in the atmosphere is where the temps will cause it to rain.
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I don't know if winter will be over after this upcoming warm up, but it's unlikely to return to anything remotely like we've had this week with the cold and ice/snow being able to stick around. The Euro doesn't even go below freezing from the 9th to the 16th here. It's head faked warm ups a couple times this year already, but often when the Pacific breaks down in February and a big warm up hits, it lasts so long that we are in March before it relents.

