John1122

Overall a big model bust on rain today. MRX new afd seems pretty skeptical of the heavy rain delivering Saturday as well, which leads them to doubt flooding. Models are handling everything very poorly, which has been a theme all spring and summer.

Looks like the southern valley is getting raked by some pretty good storms. We've had about a half inch of rain since midnight here but zero thunder.

This wasn't a shower moving over. It just exploded. This is the radar at 3:25 and 5 minutes later at 3:30 at my location.

I just got woke up by an absolute gulley washer that popped up directly over my house. It went from a blank radar to a deep red return in one cycle. Don't recall seeing that heavy of a shower develop from nothing in a handful of minutes.

Didn't rain much at my house today so far, but I'm on the lake for trivia night and it came an epic rainer at the boat dock. One clap of thunder in the whole thing but it probably rained an inch in 25 minutes.

June of this year, just taking Tri as a quick sample, had a high of 94. It rained 5.38 inches at Tri in June after rains came in late month. June of 1957 saw Tri have a high of 93 for the max. And it rained over 4 inches late month to push them to 6 inches of rain for the month. July of 1957 was extremely dry at Tri. .79 inches total. We will see how July plays out there this month but they've already recorded nearly that much rain. Winter that year, there was a minor 1-3 inch snow event for most of the state mid-month with a quick shot of frigid weather in mid-December. Areas that get upslope did best with the 2+ inch totals around the Plateau/SEKy/SWVa, but there was snow on the ground from Memphis to Bristol at the time. January was actually cool and BN, but it was El Nino below normal. Meaning there were only a couple of really cold days in January, with well below freezing highs and no sub zero type cold. But the highs were muted too so Jan of '58 was around -4 to -6 across the area but it wasn't extremely cold at any point. Moisture and cold refused to link up so the biggest snow in January was 1-2 inches for the area but some snow fell on about half the days of the month without amounting to much more than a dusting to a half an inch. In February brutal cold arrived and snow did too, we started the month with a 3 inch event then added 1.5 inches to it as snow showers lasted the next two days with highs in the lower 20s and lows around 12. From Feb 8th-19th it only got above freezing two days imby. We had a 4 day stretch of below 0 lows and there was an 8 inch snow fall, highs in the lower 10s followed the big snow and the coldest low was -10. It was a forum wide snow event, Memphis and Nashville got 3-5 inches. Crossville got 8 inches. Knoxville and Chattanooga 7 inches, Tri got 9.7.

That heavy shower delivered an inch of rain. The deficit is being chipped away at but the lake level is still 10 or so feet lower than normal summer pool.

Of course right after I posted that it starts absolutely pouring down here.

There's been a lot of cloud to ground lightning with these storms.

Today the heavy rain has popped up a couple miles away from me in every direction at different times. I've gotten about .15 so far. Areas just E/S/N/W have gotten .5 or more. Apparently there's little or no steering currents. They seem to just kind of drift in various directions.

Todays storm has popped up right over my area and has been sitting here for a while. Heavy rain coming down but not much thunder and no severe aspects.

December of '82 started really warm, that's why it finished AN. Temps were near 80 early in the month. By mid December highs were below freezing and lows were in the low single digits after a 10 inch snow event on the Plateau. Knoxville got around 3-4 from that event, if records are to be believed. Tri had 6+. It warmed dramatically for Christmas of '82 as well, with highs in the 60s/70s.

Today's storms popped about 10 miles south of me and headed away. I doubt the rain sw of me makes it here today. Future radar shows it collapsing.

Some of last night's after math.

.95 in 30 minutes.