John1122
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About John1122
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The Rufus was a big hitter along the 81 corridor and decent down to Knoxville.
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The ICON has went from barely scraping far Eastern NC at 18z yesterday, to snow almost back to Charlotte at 06z.
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The Rufus shifted probably 90ish miles w with the precip field vs 0z. It was mostly hugging the counties that border NC, now the precip shield is to the Plateau.
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One or two more NW shifts would be nice. Webb keeps saying the Euro is out to lunch being so suppressed with really nothing in the Atlantic to keep it suppressed.
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SREF at 03z is nw and gives most of the area from the western Plateau eastward .10 or more precip from 63-87.
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The UKIE, which has been the furthest east, was probably 150-200 miles west vs 12z.
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Canadian, while nothing for us, went from off the coast to precip well west into NC from 12z to 0z.
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I don't actually believe the GFS here because it's the GFS. It digs the S/W further south and west and pumps the ridge a bit off the east coast, thus the more NW track.
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The Rufus now has the Sunday system hitting East Tennessee.
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0z RGem is a rainer under probably 1800/2000ft.
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The 0z NAMs are similar to 18z with precip, but they were also warmer. Rain across our area but snow on the Gulf coast would be the ultimate weather slap in the face.
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It would be wild to be significantly trailing the Florida/Alabama Gulf Coast in snowfall two winters in a row.
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ICON is also a mostly rain event. Frustrating to say the least.
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18z is really warm as well, at this point, it wouldn't shock me if it warmed up and rained.
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It's the model that is supposed to eventually replace the HRRR and NAM.
