Damage In Tolland

Today was terribly under forecast. Low -mid 40’s everywhere. Awful day

Pack stays That’s massive

It’s looked like rain to start for all of SNE.. perhaps a bit north into CNE.. I’ve never once thought it wasn’t going to rain. I have not agreed with warm 50’s inches of rain and dews wiping out the snowpack to ORH like these guys have happening .We’ve all been on these boards and into wx long enough to know when you don’t have a wrapped up storm and weaker waves the cold drains, presses happen earlier than modeled almost always. I’m not expecting any snow at all except maybe at the tail end unless colder trends continue . For now I’m thinking rain to zr to sleet ending as snow. Is that so far off base?

Yes the HRRR 2 days out is known to do a bang up up job on frontal placement.

Someone that takes chewables or in this particular case.. chews and bongs while working and posting. In no particular order

I’m selling the flooding warm rains. Not the ice/ sleet. There’s a couple chewers here calling for all rains

I think most folks here realize the cold press will win. They always rip in faster than even the coldest models show. Just a suspicion, but the folks calling for all rain dews and full pack loss are going to be doing some WTF’s come Friday morning

Where are you thinking that zone is? Maybe southern 2/3 CT? Ryans cousin here

Lotta ice

Yup

Down to the Merritt

How does that happen with such weak waves?

We shall see if your 1-2 plain rain and 50’s work out. Maybe you’ll be right. I know where my money is not lol

Box did too

The 38 dewpoint is the magic number. Dews under that aren’t a huge damager for short periods

Yeah that’s been my point.. I’m talking surface . Meaning more ice. I don’t think south of 90 sees much snow

Nah everything went warm and rainy. Chewbacca said so

What are your thoughts? You siding with the chewer and warm rainer or are you thinking zr to sleet to snow?

How are you washing away 12-15” of snow with temps near 40 for a few hours? You’re better than this

People are delusional lol In lower levels, models are starting to converge as NAM/ECMWF have trended colder, albeit not quite as cold as GFS Finally, the deterministic models generally came in colder with the 00Z runs. If this colder solution continues, more in the way of ice is possible,

The nam does not get these cold presses wrong. Only the Euro is right near 32.

What Warmer trends ? It’s funny you say you lost all faith in Euro yet now you are using it while everything else rushes the cold in . When is the Nam ever wrong with cold press and CAD?The funniest part is SW CT is under the biggest threat for big ice damage and you’ve a poster down there calling for inches of rain and 50’s. I mean wtf?

How can anyone think this is a warm rainstorm ? I mean lol. Wtf . Everything colder . Trends keep coming