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Damage In Tolland

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  1. ECMWF Ensemble members indicating snow for Tuesday night into Wednesday than 24 hours ago, with ensemble probabilities for 3" or more of snow in the 24-hour period 18z Tue - 18z Wed now up to 50% across western MA/western Hartford County, the hills in central MA and Tolland County eastward into the northern Providence suburbs. Recent trends in the GFS have also trended snowier in this period. Global models show anomalously strong mid and upper level jets (~ 100 kts at 500 mb, 150 kts at 250 mb, with Southern New England positioned in the favorable equatorward entrance region of each jet), and there are hints in the guidance at some bands (axis of 850 mb -EPV, some though unfocused FGen @ 850) during the overnight hrs.
  2. Box has 3-6” inland and 1-3” towards coast. 3-6/4-8” event coming
  3. Gone is the screamer. We’re getting there. Whatever we get Wednesday should stick around
  4. Don’t have specific dates , but with nice jet streak, significant upglide, and boundary just offshore with strong baroclinic zone , it argues for a significant winter wx event away from the water . Just my opinion
  5. Lol. You’ll all be taking em up then. Good luck
  6. Imo this is a 3-6” or 4-8” deal on Wednesday. You change over sooner , you get into low end warning. Later and it’s closer to 3-4”
  7. What happened to warm AN month with bad look and no snows?
  8. I see all these bridge jumpers ..all these torch calls on here etc etc.. Theres 2-3 snow chances the next 10-14 days, and we’ll see where we go from there
  9. Let’s see.. you said that about the first week, the second week, the third week, had AN month for Dec.. Sooner or later it might happen. Or it might not? I’ll continue riding HM ideas till I can’t
  10. It shifted 300 miles east with a week to go . Of course it’s a mix to cold rain. Whoosh
  11. Intact GFS shows another coastal system moving up from the south Friday, spreading precipitation into Southern New England with continues into Saturday. The ECMWF is slower with the coastal system, moving precipitation ashore on Saturday. GFS temperatures are borderline, with potential for both rain and snow. The ECMWF temperature show predominently rain. Expect a mix of precipitation on one or both of the days, but with low confidence.
  12. Funny how what was modeled as a massive screamer 2 Days ago for next weekend is now a full on miller A coastal . Not much cold air, but you can see how mixed precipitation could be in the mix. So we lose all our pack the next couple days up to NH, but we gain it right back on Wednesday and even if next weekend is 30’s mix/rain.. the new pack would stay intact and with cold pattern thru holidays, virtually ensure a white Xmas.
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