Jackstraw

Models have been all over the place with the southern portion of the incoming rain (to be expected when a cutoff L is involved) but for MBY as of 12Z its the Canuk's vs everyone else. I will say over the last 30 days the Canuk's have won. Canuk's have me at less than .25 while most other's are around .75 to 1.5 through Sat. Early October smackdown begins tomorrow lmao.

43 last night. Woke up with a shiver lol.

East/Central Pacific has been a Tropical nerds dream this season. Mostly harmless but absolutely beautiful blow torch storms. Polo is another gorgeous Major. I hope we're getting as much research data as possible.

I've had some Fall work to start getting ready for Winter to do outside, shoring up the roof over the little barn, some fence repair to keep Goat and Donkey from raiding the neighbors (and they would lol) etc. Having to cram it in before another trip to Florida next month. I can attest it feels like fall out. I don't think I've ever mowed with a coat, gloves and winter hat on before. Maybe its just because it went from 87 to 50 in a day lol. Its a bit windy, that's not helping. And now we have cold "wet air" this morning. Its not really foggy or drizzle per se. Its just wet. Like a cold body shower lol. It's phreakin cold with the breeze I know that. Looks to stick around for another week, albeit a little warmer (70 maybe) and maybe some sun. I'll take every minute of that stuff. Top tier climo for the next week.

Yes it is. It really shows up in winter where the snow/rain cutoff can be brutal, especially for me lol. I've seen in just kitchen sink and could literally drive 2 or 3 miles N and there's 4 or 5 inches. I have my own theory as to my the main E/W trail through history basically follows the I70/US40 corridor through the Great Lakes/OH Valley from the NE and East Atlantic. It being due to roughly that line being the average storm track line making more winter treks (although muddy) possible out of some of the larger Eastern cities. My own stupid theory but it kind of makes sense to me lol. Of course its also the southern end of the last glacial extension so theres that. I ramble, it's early lol .

Tag y'all are it lol. Been super dry locally. I mean the rain around here has been 10 miles north or south. Which is fine, we received nearly a summers worth during the flooding rains a month ago. Grounds back to dry lake bed cracking around here lol. Just got back from Fl in time for our first Fall like week it looks like. Thats fine with me. I'm ready for some sub 60/50 dews for awhile. Even up here, Aug and most of Sept was just humid as hell. El Nino Humidifier been running full tilt this summer. One of the muggiest in recent memory here. I expect it down there. But I'm 1/2 mile from the ocean down there so usually a nice breeze. I'm in the ocean when I'm not helping my mother anyway so it really doesn't bother me. Pretty cool this trip with a lot of low to mid 80's. But also a lot of Florida Woosh Bangs. Nothing louder than Florida Hammer lightning lol. Munched down a 35lb Cobia I caught surf fishing, my favorite ocean fish to eat!

Lets see how the models do over the next 10 days precip wise. The mean average for MBY last Sunday was .5 inches, I received over 2in within 72 hours. To be honest, the Canuk and Baby Canuk did the best with last week and this week in the medium to long range. It has me around 1.5in thru 10 days while the others just a spittle. If it keeps up I'm riding it into March in mby lol

It's been raining for 6 hours straight again. This is getting stupid.

So we broke all time river crests through North Central IN down to Northern Indy last week. Now a rain train is setting up to dump again. I'm already pushing 13 inches for the last week, 90% came on Thurs thru Fri night. Insane.

Yeah. I'm more concerned with home growns this year . Not necessarily hurricanes either. Tropical systems that can form in the GOM, even weak ones, this year are going to be loaded water guns moving inland. While El Nino's usually cut down on overall numbers, they usually load up weaker storms. And we certainly don't want a GOM system riding up the MS river this year after what just happened. We're going to be flood prone for the next month with no rain. Rivers and creeks are still in Moderate to Major flood stages. If you stop and walk up to a corn or soybean field theres a lake under most of them.

Yeah, been watching it from my back porch. It just started moving right. Wind here abruptly changed direction about 15 min ago like 180 degrees heading into that thing. Got my eyes on the one behind it. Its freaking juicy as hell out.

I'll try and get some pics tomorrow. That is if this if we dont get the supposed amounts being forecasted right now overnight. Another 1in+ and its gonna be Schitts creek territory. Cant believe I forgot my phone lol. Sux getting old.

Yep. We have November which I kind of think as our second tornado season compared to Spring early Summer.

I hope this rain is done for awhile, we can't take anymore. I am very familiar with the creeks and rivers around here as I do a lot of fishing, canoeing and kayaking especially East of State Road 9. I took a ride around Madison, Delaware and Hancock counties today and there are places I've never seen the water that high ever (in 15 years anyway). They are saying record levels on the White River from around Muncie to Anderson. There is a big gravel pit, about 100 acres, to my SE on St Rd 13 that the gravel tower that loads the trucks is halfway under water from the table rising in the 3 pits its already dug. That thing is 75ft tall. Bridges along Pipe creek and White river are like 12 inches from going under on major roads and highways. These are fairly large spans (for us in the stix lol) of over 100ft. Tons of roads closed and EMS trucks and cars everywhere. Believe it or not I forgot my phone lol. I'm gonna go back around tomorrow as the rivers are supposed to crest then and get some pics. Its pretty bad. I know the New Castle and Cambridge areas got hammered too but thats a bit of a stretch for me just farting around lol. That was a ton of rain in such a short time for about an 8 county area.

Skeeters are gonna suck next week, literally