snywx

4 minutes ago, wdrag said:

I find it hard to believe we'll exceed 10". my guess is we be satisfied with 5-8" and get out of here. Its least it was slippery for a few hours.  icing overnight then back to another inch or two of snow tomorrow, I hope. 

Agreed.. Unless these rates pick up in intensity we will struggle to achieve 6"

26° w/ Lgt snow

1" otg 

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Mixing line getting close…

 

mod snow 

Looks like its midway through middlesex approaching SI

28/22 w/ lgt snow

coating on all surfaces

29/20 overcast here 

24 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

That explains why snywx who I believe is only a couple of miles from you seems to do bette snow wise. I believe he's at 850 feet. It can make a noticeable difference as we all know. 

He’s not as close as you think. Im a few miles west of the city of Middletown. 

If I had to draw a line on where the 6" line will be its prob from Mahwah to Suffern to Stony point across the river to Yorktown. 

2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

I’ve seen them pick up on the Wallkill River as well at times which is impressive IMO

I believe areas along the Walkill & Hudson are the lowest points of the county. Two areas in Orange county that should clean up is the Schnemunk area ( Highland Mills, Monroe ) & Shawangunk ridge area ( Otisville, Greenville ). I can def see some 12" reports coming from those areas. 

27/20 here

Expecting 8-12" 

12z GFS 

I know its strictly for entertainment purposes but the GFS along with other guidance continues to increase amounts in the immediate area 

1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

At this stage (5 miles west of the river, 600ft asl) anything less than 6 will be a disappointment, expectations are for 8-10, anything over 10 is gravy.

8-10" is my expectation here as well. Im sure a few spots throughout the area will hit 12" but it should be isolated. 

Currently 25/19 here

12z NAM.. 

4 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Pretty sure most of Orange County should be in that, no need to go all the way up to Ellenville.

Absolutely.. I think if anything O.C might jack this event.. Paul Goodloe from TWC is in the area lol

18z GFS looked nice for us interior folk. Actually bumped up precip amounts slightly. I think we are looking at 8-12" areawide (Orange,,Ulster,Dutchess,Sullivan)

2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

I could see 2 inches in Van Cortlandt Park but idk if that is an official site.

Yeah thats my thinking as well. Thats prob gonna the area within the city limits that receives the most snow. Yonkers prob the same. You will prob start to see advisory level snows once you get into the HPN area. 

12z GFS Kuchera 

23 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

Most NYPD and FDNY that I know up this way work in the bx 

Yeah.. Ive been doing the commute now for about 20 yrs. 

22 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Can't the tappan zee get congested during rush hour?

It can but the new bridge def helped with congestion. I cross that bridge at 6am and I cruise through 

44 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

The only thing that is stopping me from moving to Orange County is the traffic to my job.

Transfer to the bx or uptown 

12 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Seems every storm the past few winters has trended back to the 90s and brings back frustrating memories. I don’t live where I want to live but living at the bottom of Westchester is still better than growing up in Queens. I agree I expect about 1-2 inches of slop here but better than a total blanking I guess. 

Trust me I know the feeling. Growing up in the BX in the 80s/90s I used to cringe when I frequently heard "NW of 287".. Being a weather weenie like many of us are, moving up here to orange county in 2000 was the best! Doubled my snowfall average in a short 55 min drive ( no traffic of course ) lol

45 minutes ago, vegan_edible said:

nws still giving me 3-7 in wp. my westchester crew still has a chance to see something here

HPN should be in line for a nice advisory event. I wouldn't be surprised to see some 1-2" reports coming from  as far south as areas like Van Courtlandt in the BX. This is your classic 90s snowstorm 

0z Ukmet 

0z GFS Kuchera 

21 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Up near Ramsey where I-287 merges into I-87 will probably be fine. That area where the elevation lowers and I-87 turns east into the Tappan Zee might be the area where you start seeing under warning snow amounts. 

I think anyone aoa 500’ in Rockland has a shot. Areas along the Hudson like tappan, south Nyack are a legit snow hole. North of sloatsburg should be 6”+

24 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I’ll simplify it further. I don’t think Rockland and Bergen see that much snow

I think north Rockland & north Bergen have a legit chance at warning criteria snow.