JoshM
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Posts posted by JoshM
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2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:
Really hate the GFS ain't working... the GEFS looked good.
Man, that does look good
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Someone it manages to crap out around 3-4 inches for MBY. I'll take it
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GFS not a half bad look at this range
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And the snow map
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Just now, wncsnow said:
Okay GFS
Ya, that's one of the oddest setups I've seen. I've been sitting here just looking
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26 minutes ago, wncsnow said:
As of today the rest of winter outside of January is a D or F. Here lately we seem to get a big storm or nothing. Back in the 2000s and 90s it seemed like there were a lot more 3 to 6 inch snow and sleet storms. Now its 8 to 16 inch big snows but only one per season..
Winter is like super speedway racing, we sit thru the boring parts (90-95%), waiting for the big one.
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GFS not too shabby this run
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FWIW, latest RAP has Charlotte at 0.28 freezing rain, was 0.04 last run
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Latest HRRR keeping sub freezing dewpoints into the later morning West of 77
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What's making this trend colder, do we have some pseudo wedge or something?
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Just now, BornAgain13 said:
Trending towards more ice with the models.... a significant change from 18z, other than the rgem which has had quite a bit of ice for many runs.
Check out the RAP, last 4 runs have increased the amount and coverage of the ZR
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4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:
Latest HRRR gives Greensboro a quarter inch of ICE...
18z RGEM had Charlotte at around 3/4 of an inch
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17 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:
4% for MBY
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18 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:
Back in my single days I would compare this to waiting on that girl to text you back. You knew in the back of your head it wasn't gonna happen but you held out hope just the same. (I'm sure this is something my fellow weather nerds can commiserate with)
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If the GFS verifies …
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9 minutes ago, PantherJustin said:
Which would be 1/4” max… gotta take 75% off
If the in-situ cad is stronger and/or the precip gets in sooner then it’d be more like 40-50% off. Another long week of tracking
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Precip moves in About six hours sooner this run. over 1 inch of freezing rain for KCLT
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Get those generators ready
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CAD ice returns on 6z
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33 with flurries
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36 degrees, rain with snow mixing in
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Canadian is trying, but a lot warmer than GFS
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Incoming on the GFS
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
in Southeastern States
Posted
GFS finally got unstuck