JoshM

0z GFS brings us out of fantasy range with some coastal love next weekend.

more fantasy land eye candy, looks like a 2002 redux

18 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

I don't think I've been this excited about a pattern since 2010

When the big one comes you will be starting the thread! No ifs ands or buts.

55 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

Can't believe we're still laughing at climate change in 2021, almost 2022.

I wasn't laughing at it. Climate change or not, this is a shit pattern. It wouldn't produce 50 years ago and it won't produce today. +3.5 degrees means nothing when it's 75 degrees. Just means there's a little extra lighter fluid on the dumpster fire.

47 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

Climate change.

Euro tries to bring a little love in on the 21st

2 minutes ago, RT1980 said:

Why are the op runs so left and right? Not concerned with the snow or no snow but 6z to 12z run temps are day and night.  Below freezing then in the 60’s+.  What samples change that drastically in 6 hours?

Usually happens when there's a pattern change coming.

24 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

smoke show?

Other than Tuesday, it's way above normal, even into fantasy range

Anyone looking at the 18z GFS might need to put some welding goggles on first.

Start the thread... Just trend a little colder

Just now, PantherJustin said:

Yea! That one showed model run after Model Run big dogs starting that Sat eve all the way up to game time that Weds night (Feb 14) 

Exactly. When I go all in, excluding banter thread, I usually feel pretty good about a storm.

17 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

If this thing shows promise by Tuesday or Wednesday, we really need to be selective in who starts the thread.  

The last one I started was "The Big one" from probably 2013 or 2014, which did well for a good chunk of us. I actually feel good about this one (knock on wood). If it's still showing early next week then I'll start the thread. I rarely start threads, but I will spread the love for an end of season blockbuster.

33/33,

38/26, NE Wind ~ 5mph, mostly cloudy now

39/25, North wind picking up to around 10mph. clouds coming in!

40/25

I thought I was out of the woods, but the trend is putting me in the cross hairs now. Going to get some fuel for the generator, just in case.

This is our storm in NC this time, no more getting the football pulled out from under us!!!

1 minute ago, HKY_WX said:

Trends...

 

I see why GSP issued the Watches as far south as they did, with these trends.

Canadian is a touch colder than 12z

51 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

People were giving me so much crap a few days ago about posting models that showed no snow or wintry precip.. look at us now

1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Silly NAM continues to creep 

 

 

 

Still gonna need some more cold, with these marginal temps, it'd be very self limiting.

Well, the High Res NAM is getting close

6z GFS has entered the chat