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JoshM

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  1. 1 hour ago, GaWx said:

    Wow regarding the 0Z GFS strat forecast!! Check it out (loop this for the entire run, which gets very interesting from 2/10 to the end):

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=nhem&pkg=Tz10&runtime=2023020500&fh=-12

     

     What is most needed to get out of the neverending ugly pattern is major chaos. One potential source of major chaos is the strat. The chance of strong AO/NAO blocking goes up significantly 10+ days after a major weakening of the SPV. This run's strat becomes about as chaotic as one would want. If something close to this were to verify, there'd be no telling what would happen in the SE starting as early as the last week of Feb, especially considering MJO forecasts.

    Thanks for the information, as usual.  If the SSW doesn't work out, our last option is getting the weather control machine from the Sims 4

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