Philly folks ( and I enjoy Wentz and Ralph coming into the forum) really love to rush in while we are high fiving to say that Fredericksburg isn't getting 40"+. Let us enjoy it damnit! hahaah
To my weenie eyes, the GEPS have a quicker coastal transfer than 0z. I don't know how well those verify, but it was a small step in the right direction.
12z UKIE has the SLP in extreme southern Illinois/western Ky at 120. GFS is in central IN. 144 has it off the coast pretty far. Won't know any details until the better maps are available.
Look at hour 99 on the GFS and 111 on the 0z Euro. Its night and day over New England, suppressing the flow over the east. Euro has much stronger confluence, hence the primary being further south.
Its a sloppy-ish phase (kind of what Ralph was alluding to) and the Surface doesn't get captured until its just north of us but still throws more snow at us 150hr+. Ok enough ICON talk