Sn0waddict

Looks like endless sun and highs near 80 if the GFS is right after Saturday.

Huh lol. Guess it ain’t even gonna kick east in the end.

Looks like a heavy rainband is about to reach Nantucket.  Will see how far that makes it.

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

How is the JMA looking???

Don’t forget about the SPIRE model

Windy day on block island. But the sun is out so it’s kind of nice lol

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1702009839696703928?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Ah yes the legendary JMA/SPIRE combo. Right up there with the old EURO/UKIE.

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yes it has I agree…but the 18z run a few hrs ago was a marked change…and everything else has followed since…that’s more what I meant, which was kind of like the Euro of old a bit.  But as you stated, we’ll hold off on the accolades for a while lol. 

Lol exactly. Would be great for the EURO to be the king again one day though.

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Euro gaining some credit back maybe…be nice to see. 

Euro had this thing curving out to sea for days back in the beginning and only had a couple runs that brought his thing near the cape.  Wouldn’t go that far yet. It’s had the largest model swings of all the big models so far lol.  

Just now, WinterWolf said:

The SW tics are probably not done yet…ridging getting more pronounced now…

Maybe but we have seen over corrections and late ticks east before.  My gut tells me this ends up pretty much right where it’s modeled right now. 

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh boy…getting interesting for everybody now. 

Definitely a lot more interesting for eastern New England.

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

We are at peak dopamine drip thanks to 18z euro . Still seems modest chance to me for now 

keep in mind the tick east that almost always tends to happen hah

NS it is.  Regarding the Euro it’s been so incredibly inconsistent with this.  Not sure how anyone can hang their hat on it at this point. 

Already getting some big time surf out on block island. Should be a fun week ahead.

Not seeing any real support for the euro here.

24 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

That's actually west

Is it? Idk 18z had a few into SNE which are no longer there on 0z.  Most are in the NS area now.

Icon is actually a little further east of its 12z run.  Into NS

A few interesting ones here

Looks like cmc will make landfall into NS but it’s slowing down as well.

Looks slightly west of 6z but nothing too drastic.

Pretty incredible how consistent the GFS has been with Lee regarding the path. Euro was curving way out to see at the beginning of this and has been rather all over the place since then.   If the GFS ends up right here then let’s hope it can carry this accuracy over into the winter lol

Block island has a 15k run scheduled for 130pm today.  Thought about doing it but in this heat I figured I would prefer not to die. My god is it humid. Sun is coming out too.

9 minutes ago, FXWX said:

Irresponsible in IMHO 

Joe is the biggest weenie amongst them all.  

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'd be happy with a 50-60+ tempest. It's boring lately lol.

 

For the record, I am referring to a powerful impact, not a side brush with 40-50 on the Cape. Still possible there.

I’m out and block island and am looking forward to the surf with this thing, which appears to be the only given at this point. 

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

They have inched west.

Haven’t seen 12z ensembles. But 6z was pretty east.