Sn0waddict

Happy end of October:

Might see some 70s later next week. 

2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

As long as it's gone by Sunday afternoon.  

GFS salvages Sunday. Hope it’s right 

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

What is the GFS doing?  

RGEM/CMC actually show it too. Lol. But I would trust the meso’s with this storm.

Getting some thunder here. Heaviest rain of the day too.

Been sitting just on the edge of the rain band for what seems like hours now.  Which is fine by me lol

Stamford area looks like it’s gonna get smoked these next few hours. 

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

yeah worst over by 3-4am just some leftover stuff after that

Newest 3k NAM lines up really well with radar.  Looks like the worst will be around NYC/Westchester County/SWCT

3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

12k 12z NAM and still more to come after this.

Most of what comes after that is just light rain. So I would say this is what the NAM says everyone has left.

0Z HRRR definitely a step down from 18z in regards to total precip.

3k NAM cuts back a lot.  Heavy stuff stays south/offshore. Congrats to the 29 inches out in the ocean though. 

1 minute ago, Mr. Windcredible! said:

My anxiety is through the roof. Gonna be away for the weekend and don't want to come home to a wet basement. Even though we had french drains put in back in May, I'm still nervous about water finding it's way in through other small cracks in the foundation.

Same. Bought some sandbags already to put on the north side of the house as rain tends to sit against my foundation there. Preparing for the worst and hoping for the best. 

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

big east shift from last night  congrats ct

Maybe some more time to shift that into SE MA 

This doesn’t look great. 

Looks like endless sun and highs near 80 if the GFS is right after Saturday.

Huh lol. Guess it ain’t even gonna kick east in the end.

Looks like a heavy rainband is about to reach Nantucket.  Will see how far that makes it.

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

How is the JMA looking???

Don’t forget about the SPIRE model

Windy day on block island. But the sun is out so it’s kind of nice lol

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1702009839696703928?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Ah yes the legendary JMA/SPIRE combo. Right up there with the old EURO/UKIE.

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yes it has I agree…but the 18z run a few hrs ago was a marked change…and everything else has followed since…that’s more what I meant, which was kind of like the Euro of old a bit.  But as you stated, we’ll hold off on the accolades for a while lol. 

Lol exactly. Would be great for the EURO to be the king again one day though.

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Euro gaining some credit back maybe…be nice to see. 

Euro had this thing curving out to sea for days back in the beginning and only had a couple runs that brought his thing near the cape.  Wouldn’t go that far yet. It’s had the largest model swings of all the big models so far lol.  

Just now, WinterWolf said:

The SW tics are probably not done yet…ridging getting more pronounced now…

Maybe but we have seen over corrections and late ticks east before.  My gut tells me this ends up pretty much right where it’s modeled right now. 

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh boy…getting interesting for everybody now. 

Definitely a lot more interesting for eastern New England.

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

We are at peak dopamine drip thanks to 18z euro . Still seems modest chance to me for now 

keep in mind the tick east that almost always tends to happen hah