Sn0waddict

16 minutes ago, Greg said:

I have the toaster and warm bath ready.

Want to trade places? I will gladly take your snow followed by a little sleet.

1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Ski I could be mistaken but is the GFS to be trusted with TEMPS as I have heard people say and post "its bad with thermals " ?

Gfs has been too warm with winter storms for over a year now. But if the low goes to the north of us then yes it would  get rather warm.

CMC now cuts over CT as well lol no big deal for us really seeing as we still get front end snow and just avoid the crippling ice, but our friends up north may not appreciate it.

Just now, Doorman said:

clipper 

Gfs thermals are garbage.

Low still ends up being too tucked, but that look prior to hour 54 now at least gives us all a chance of a solid front end dump. We take.

I think I approve of this so far. As long as it doesn’t bring more freezing rain later.

5 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Going with 3-6" most of CT with 1-3 immediate coast and 6-10 NW of BDL. 

Guess you won’t have to bother with bringing the snow monster down to the coast. 

6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

It's just the immediate Ct coast. The North shore of Long Island tends to hand on a little longer because they are a bit more protected from the ocean.

I’ve definitely seen them hang on longer than the south shore of Long Island, multiple storms where north Long Island is snowing and Long Beach is raining and near 40, but never seen coastal ct switch while north Long Island is still holding on.  Just being picky though the map is reasonable.

Nice map, though as a ct coast native my entire life I cant wrap my head around how SW ct would be raining while northern Long Island would still be a wintery mix.

CMC looks similar to the GFS but without the backside.

CMC looks similar to the GFS

ICON FTW

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

NAM coming in a bit stronger. 996 before 1000. 

Yep more amped. Pretty quick changeover to sleet.

6 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

CT gets screwed

Whatever it takes to avoid significant freezing rain. If that means sacrificing snow/sleet for plain rain than so be it (as hard as it is to say that) .

Nice front end dump on the ICON, allow position ends up being quite nice too.

NAM has the low in the Carolinas lol mixing line right over the city 

Ugh like the front end thump but now southern CT is the ice bullseye. Please shift a little more south. 

JMA looks pretty south too. Let’s hope this continues.

Positive trend. Boston get smoked. Lets just  get this a little more south. 

Those temps seem suspect to me given the position of the low and where the high is. If it played out like that I would bet on sleet/ZR not plain rain for most.

Just now, NJwx85 said:

It redevelops like the GGEM.

With a weak enough low and a strong enough high pressure I guess that could squash it and cause redevelopment off the coast? Kinda seemed like that was what the NAM was going to do. GFS is just too amped for that to happen. 

For all to see :

http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-panel.php?mod=ukmet&run=12&stn=PNM&map=na&lang=en&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest

how it gets from WV to the benchmark is beyond me.

UKIE with a 990 near the benchmark lol prior panel has it in southern WV.

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

At work icon has limited maps and the fact I was looking to begin with is a problem. But yeA thanks, temps are frigid, that’s alot of ip/zr. Good luck.

Ya not ideal lol I don’t mind sleet but if it’s going towards ZR than I would rather just torch’s 

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

And everyone else in SNE, what are we looking at....

It’s a mix, look at surface temps. ICON on TT doesn’t show sleet/ice.

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

btw ICON lead the way on this one

It went back to an inland solution at 18z last night. Right before the other models trended away from that.