Sn0waddict

That is way too close for comfort. Hopefully the ensembles don’t support that.

Weenie map still shows over a foot of snow for SW CT and the south coast, but yes not as friendly for those farther north. Plenty of time to iron out the details of this though.

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ukie is somewhat suppressed and not that potent. 

 

Odd there is a low off of Florida too.

Man I thought 6z would be the pinnacle with this storm, but 12z was even better. Ok now it’s no where but downhill from here...

1 minute ago, bluewave said:

We’ll be good to go if these solutions hold once within the NAM’s best range. The NAM has been our go to model for snowfall with the numerous Euro misses in recent years. I can still remember the NAM bringing home the goods on the January 2016 blizzard while the Euro was too suppressed.

Any difference with accuracy between the 12 k and 3 k NAM?

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I saw you're other comment too about Milford CT since 2016 which is also wrong. Check these out real quick, then im out for real. Doesnt look you like you did well on Mar 18 but im suspect of that 3.5 in woodmont, i think you got more than 6 from that one. but at least 3 more were around 10 or more.

Feb 17 and Jan 18 were great daytime blizzard condition all-snow type storms. I coulnd't forget them if i tried.

 

Damn you didn’t have to do me like that. LOL. Some solid storms there.

1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said:

Do we care about NAVGEM or is it just a weenie model? 

No. It use to have a noticeable SE bias,  so for example if it was SE of the benchmark that probably meant that the storm was going to track on the benchmark. But I thought someone mentioned that it does even have that bias anymore? It’s just a bad model.

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Icon is pretty robust for Monday.... temps are iffy though 

Icon thermals are terrible. I mean the model doesn’t even show mixing. But it does look much better for Wednesday, perhaps it is finally realizing the cad signature.

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I was just asking about Jan  ‘16?  And he’s down in the SW corner isn’t he?  But maybe I’m wrong? 

Milford ct since 2016.  Fairfield prior to that, except Hamden for a few years (college) . Was in Hamden for 2010-2011, probably my favorite winter of all time. 
 

Anyways back on topic..
 

4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

not sure about the rough comment, weve gotten several 12+ events since then. No monsters but a foot + is nothing to sneeze at. Many times, Feb 15, Jan 16, Feb 16, Feb 17, Jan 18, Mar 18, Mar 19 all had double digits amount in new haven county.

Im out for a while, GL to all on the 12z models, ill b back on later tonight.

This is OUR storm. 

Hmmm my memory isnt anywhere near some others here when it comes to storms, but I think mar 2018 was decent. Like 7-8 inches? I do recall another storm where just inland, like Easton ridgefield etc. had a crushing heavy wet snow that knocked out power for days while right here on the coast we only got 5-6 gloppy inches. Regardless hopefully this finds a way to get everyone, even those folks down in  DC. A classic DC-BOS I95 crusher is always fun

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Hey Addict, you must have done pretty well down that way in the ‘16 blizzard that hit NYC on south well.  I remember southern and SW area of CT doing quite well(over a foot).  
 

Up this way I was like the cut off. I received 8-10” from the ‘16 monster, but couldn’t quite get into the real big stuff.  And just north of here it dropped like a rock. 

I think I measured 10.5 from that one in Milford. 2016 feels like ages ago after these past few years lol

Euro has been consistently tucking the low and then pushing it east , which is what I imagine most of the members would be doing.  Though if it tucks into NYC before pushing east then we obviously will have problems lol.

1 hour ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Nope.  Our turn.  I speak for myself, Runnaway, Wolfie, Spanks, Easton+, 4 Seasons, Wiz...sorry if I left anyone out.

+1. It’s been years since we have gotten a big one down here. Obviously I’m spoiled by the last two decades now but all the recent bigger storms have been busts down here.  It’s been pretty rough since NEMO. Not getting my hopes up but the proper teleconnections and a cold high are already something we haven’t had with a storm in a long time.

Well damn. Tucked into ACY yet we are snowing in the 20s. Forgot what’s it’s like to have a true arctic high helping us out. 

Classic grinch storm on the gfs. 50s and rain on Christmas Day. We can hardly lock in a snowstorm 48 hours out yet you know the grinch storm is going to come to fruition.

That’s really good for storm 1..

I just want more snow than anyone else on this message board. Don’t see why that’s too much to ask 

1 minute ago, SnowEMass said:

I thought we’re not really supposed to talk about the ICON except in jest. 

I just enjoy pointing out its flaws. 

How in the world is the icon spitting out rain for CT when temps  are in the 20s and the Low is well south off of Atlantic City lol.

Given the SE trend of other models seeing the EURO tucked in doesn’t seem like a bad thing to me. Meet in the middle and that would make many happy.

6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Better than 12z on the CMC but same result in the end.

“Same result in the end” not sure how you came to that conclusion? 

Even the crappy NAVGEM is a solid hit with a nice HP to the north. In fact the CMC is the only model whiffing right now. 

Still rain here. I’m throwing in the towel on any chance of seeing snow. Bleh. Maybe I’ll take a drive north.

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m coated on most surfaces and fighting it but it’s probably not going to get any better than this. 

Praying that bright band can flip us for a bit before this all shuts down. Westport reporting a mix at least has me a little encouraged.

38F rain.