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Superstorm

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  1. With his focus mainly on Lancaster County, I have to lean more towards his outcome. I think we get a couple of inches of snow than a brief period of freezing rain and sleet. Then it’s an inch plus of rain. CAD looks very underwhelming on models (especially GFS). .
  2. The benefits of living close to the base of the mountain range. It’s really tough to scour out that cold air at all levels. .
  3. For me, Horst is best in our area. He understands PA climatology (particularly LSV) better than anyone else. When he starts to honk, that’s when I know things are looking good. With that being said, if we are moving away from a phased solution, this does change the ball game. I knew that UKMET was giving me a pause for a reason. .
  4. I know I’m thinking the writing is on the wall for the weekend system. But something tells me the Ukie might be on to something. I would have thought it would have caved to the Euro and GFS but it is holding its ground firmly. Seasonal trends have been confluence driven and this would be the first to phase. .
  5. Lol, looks like UKMET shifted 200 miles north. .
  6. I think we will all see accumulating snow, but as you said, we will be disappointed when it’s washed away. Just a stat padder. .
  7. Saw that happen in Nebraska with brutal cold air in place. Left a nice coating of snow on everything. .
  8. I don’t think MDT or any location east of mountains could get to -22F with a wind. .
  9. Momma always said, “be careful what you wish for”. .
  10. Seeing the first flakes (flurries) starting to fly her in Lancaster County. .
  11. Trend has been to expand northward. Could see another small bumps north. There will be a tight cutoff. .
  12. Wow, the 12z NAM. Continues to bring heavier stuff into southern PA. .
  13. Monster op hit. Could be some doozies in ensembles. .
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