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Superstorm

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  1. Even Horst is more bullish than you would expect by looking at models (other than the NAM). I think MAG may be right about the quick hitting and thump snow may be under forecasted by the big models. .
  2. Yeah, this may be most bullish I have seen them. .
  3. Saw that too. Aligns well with his discussion. .
  4. He’s also been concerned with the ice accretion. .
  5. That will be a rainstorm into the Great Lakes region. A second wave may try to get going along the front. .
  6. I do think we get a nice thump of snow (2 to 3”). However, in classic 80s New Jersey climate storm, the rain will be knocking on the door too soon. .
  7. Thinking Horst forecast looking better and better every minute. .
  8. And for us in Lancaster County, we’ve been on this ride before. If it is going to snow heavily in northern PA, there’s about a 90% chance we will be turning to rain. .
  9. With his focus mainly on Lancaster County, I have to lean more towards his outcome. I think we get a couple of inches of snow than a brief period of freezing rain and sleet. Then it’s an inch plus of rain. CAD looks very underwhelming on models (especially GFS). .
  10. The benefits of living close to the base of the mountain range. It’s really tough to scour out that cold air at all levels. .
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