Superstorm

So sorry. Hope he feels better 

It’s all good it will snow and we can watch it this time. It won’t be 1 or 2 in the morning! 

Latest.

Looking good.

24 hours from now we all should be snowing.

NAM is really bad. Super fast...it only snows for 6 hours. 1-3 at most my way and 2-4 also everywhere else.
 
edit: maybe 3-6 SCPA. And a bit more in SEPA. Sorry, I don’t really know where everyone on here is.

Let the warnings fly! 

Nice to see Euro beef up totals.

May be our biggest event of the year.


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Kuchera

Euro looks good. Nice stripe of 6 to 8, and locally 10.


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I melted down my 3.0" of snowfall from overnight and once again got a perfect 10:1 ratio with 0.30" of liquid.  The weird thing is that both nights were 10:1 snow but last night's was way wetter than Thursday night's.  I don't get that.
I'm sure this will change but this morning's 12Z HRRR (which ends at 0Z tomorrow evening) starts the storm as rain early tomorrow afternoon and for portions of the LSV keeps it rain until sunset.  I think it has to do with precip rates in which it doesn't show the rain changing to snow until rates ramp up later in the afternoon.

And that's what I hate. There is more to weather than just snow. Try to start a discussion about thunderstorms and tropical systems, and it's mostly crickets in here...

Meanwhile, both the 0z EPS & GEFS said that we are not done with snow tomorrow. Here is the full run of each which takes us to St.Patty’s Day.

Thanks, I guess I should have said 5-7" not 4-6" bit I saw the 3" marker over in Lancaster county so was smoothing it a bit.  Either way it is Certainly a step down from the possibility of 6-12" just yesterday.   Big NAM running coming up :-).

Only problem with that map is it includes at least half of last night's overnight snow.  I'd take at least 1 to 2" off those totals to come up with the forecast for tomorrow.
I ended up with a surprise of 3.0" of snow on the board this morning.  This snow was wetter as it stuck to the trees significantly more and the woods are really looking very white this morning.  It was really coming down as I went to bed around 1:30...as heavily as the night before.  Pleasantly surprised for sure.  That's 6.8" for the 2 days.  Now we wait to see what tomorrow brings.

Still looks good for another 6” to 8” on the 6Z Euro.



Snow on snow on snow is cool.


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Ripping here in Lancaster. Big fatties.


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Moderate snow in Lancaster.


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18Z Euro looks better




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Very close for Lancaster (Sunday).

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Advisories out 2” to 3” of snow.


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So there you have it...and old Fashioned EUS/Wright Weather/#neweather model PBP.  Just less analysis and more model copying as there are so many more models now and I have to do some work.  Lol.  

It’s only model that far NW. Even Euro much further SE with snow.


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If flying SW I would be a bit worried.  Both because of the snow and their penchant to ground flights early and often.  

Yea, I keep calling it the Monday storm to people off line but I am way off with that statement.   Good we will get to see the snow during daytime but less chance of the roads "caving" fully if rates are not enough. 

I need this completely out of here and New England by Monday afternoon.

Have a flight to BOS Monday afternoon.

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