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CT Rain

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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    The storm was more discrete and there was more instability - I think better low level shear in general.
  2. CT Rain
    The fact that Hamden, CT managed a tornado and 100 mph microburst on 5/15 with a 55F water temperature just south is nuts. EML everytime.
  3. CT Rain
    The supercell in N CT did produce a waterspout on the N-S oriented Barkhamsted Reservoir. https://twitter.com/JanesWx/status/996481026686881792
  4. CT Rain
    And on radar it’s pretty clear that’s what was happening. Hell, OKX was sampling 102 knots of inbound wind over New Fairfield! Interestingly, the tornado spun up as the RFD surge reached the Housatonic River. Local backing of the low level wind? I think there were a couple tornadic circulations in Oxford and Bethany and they found 2. Could have been more.
  5. CT Rain
    They added New Fairfield. I know they were in Brookfield - but you could also see the swath continue on the other side of the lake in New Fairfield.
  6. CT Rain
    The damage in SW CT is unbelievable. Miles and miles of snapped trees in a swath stretching from the NY border to just north of New Haven. Epic.
  7. CT Rain
    Yeah the damage is remarkable.
  8. CT Rain
  9. CT Rain
    Well that was something.
  10. CT Rain
    It's amazing how similar the CAMs look for tomorrow afternoon.
  11. CT Rain
    Wow - where'd you see that?
  12. CT Rain
    Yeah the timing actually looks favorable for some nice clearing midday.
  13. CT Rain
    Same though.
  14. CT Rain
    I wouldn't worry about a global models QPF output since they can't explicitly resolve storms.
  15. CT Rain
    I don't see it. Maybe from a storm interaction or some locally backed winds for whatever reason. The 6z NAM was concerning with the tor potential but all the other models veer the low level winds after the morning. You're left with straight hodographs. Any tornado potential is definitely very isolated. If something changes - like a mesolow or something that can serve to back low level winds like the 6z NAM had then I'll be more interested.
  16. CT Rain
    What's impressive this morning is that the EML looks even more legit. NAM and GFS close to 8c/km with mid level lapse rates. The SREF also is bumping up the CAPE - especially over CT - and now has some pretty impressive sig tor probabilities showing up.
  17. CT Rain
    Lol that’s funny. With the EML in place especially southern areas watch for some elevated stuff making it to the coast.
  18. CT Rain
    Got some EML air lurking nearby on Tuesday. Worth watching.
  19. CT Rain
    There's also virtually no people in a huge chunk of the Adirondacks so it's pretty hard to get reports in that area.
  20. CT Rain
    How'd the Mansfield mesonet site make out?
  21. CT Rain
    GFL is also in a hole in the ground. Makes that 53 knots even more impressive.
  22. CT Rain
    50 knot SCH too
  23. CT Rain
    For sure. LSC FTW.
  24. CT Rain
    Nice meso and BWER in southern Orleans Co VT
  25. CT Rain
    Radar shows ~68 knots over Mansfield. Scott's poor picnic tables.
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