yoda

Just now, Ji said:

I see a path to victory

Did the 12z GEFS enlighten you?

12z CMC is garbage for Presidents Day after 00z showed a C VA into N NC snowstorm

12z GFS keeps up that nice Miller A rainstorm for Presidents Day 

x posting here @Allsnow

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

This wasn’t the look the models had a few days for late February. Looks like we won’t make p8 until March which will be too late. 

Just now, WxUSAF said:

@yoda is 900 years old and we’re losing him 

Laughed I did.  Admit this, I will

15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Maybe, but are we glazing over the next 2 weeks? Just 12 hrs ago we were tracking Feb 13, a wave on the 18, then the ideal setup for the psu baby on the 24th. The good looks advertised are upon us. I'm not getting caught up too much in what happens beyond that. Maybe we hold thru the 3rd week of Maarch or maybe this is another 10 day window, who knows. But we have trackable events showing up now. Hang in yoda, I appreciate your posts. 

10 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I agree...it's not a long window...Tuesday, 2/20 and maybe one more shot at a biggie after that before things go to crap again, IMO............I don't buy all of the "PV will save March" crap. Maybe it prevents a complete torch, but I don't think it will be a good month.

Read the bluewave and allsnow interaction and posts on page 58 --

Its going to be funny watching the usual complaints once again soon... "oh if only there was a 50/50 then we could have had a snowstorm!"  "If only we had cold air!  Wherever could it be?"  "The blocking that was advertised seemed to have vanished again, how can this be?"  "The pattern at h5 looked AWESOMESAUCE1!!!111 How could it have failed us?11?

I'm tired of seeing all the great looks and shit over and over and over and over.  Time for the models to put up or shut up.  We saw the awesome looks at h5 last winter and what happened?  We were basically shut out of any snow.  We passed it off because oh it was a LA NINA winter lulz.  Fuck that shit.  Over and over again the PAC jet has won out no matter what the models are showing besides a few instances.  Prove me wrong ensembles.  But I am just about willing to bet money that DCA will see 2" or less of snow for the rest of the month.

7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

They're dropping like flies in the main thread. Many won't make it til mid March.

Lol.  If you went into other forums you would see others doing the same.  Allsnow.  40/70 Benchmark.  Bluewave.  Terpeast.

Even psuhoffman was getting frustrated 

18 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I made my good faith effort. No more coddling the panic stricken here. Take it to the other thread. Y'all just getting weenies from me going forward lol.

Fine.  I can't wait for the posts over the next few weeks trying to explain how these awesome looking pictures somehow failed us

5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Interpretation of LR ens means requires a bit of skill. Nuanced. Look for the hints/trends over several runs 10+ days out.

On 2/9/2024 at 3:01 AM, psuhoffman said:

This enough blocking Chuck?

Where did the mega 50/50 magically run off to on your post above?  Blocking is weaker.  NAO weaker.  Several runs showed this.  Now it's gone. So that's why it's right to be concerned 

28 minutes ago, CAPE said:

0z Ens runs look active. Both the GEFS and EPS indicate potential for the 18th and the 20-21st, and then ofc the PSU baby around the 24th. No details. Temperatures look below avg from the 17th on(colder on the EPS), but nothing super cold. The pattern continues to look volatile. Some of you need to stop living/dying with LR op runs.

My post showed the 00z EPS Day 10-15 h5.  There was nothing nice about it.  No PNA ridge, no 50/50... cutoff about to slam into the West which will raise heights into the Plains...

1 minute ago, Ji said:

My euro snowchart looks good but I wonder if skewed by non event early next week



Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

uh yeah it is lol

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

I noticed today mjo went back to phase 6?

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

Made a hard uturn in the past few days and is now forecast by 2 out of the 3 to enter the COD

No 50/50... no PNA ridge...

28 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

This made me laugh and cry.  Helluva post.  Tough break for us. 

Those awesome ensembles we saw over the past week?

@andyhb FWIW... saw this after reading your post above and thought you would like to see it

PD storm chance on the 00z EURO just peters out as it gets to our region... but there's barely any snow anyway with the entire system

00z EURO went north as well

1 minute ago, WesternFringe said:

Yet here you are, posting in this thread to tell us you moved on

Are you going to say the same to Terpeast?

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yeah, the GFS long range is bleak if you believe this run

I enjoyed that 1040+ HP in Quebec scooting out to sea for our Feb 21st threat to become cold rain

Because I am being snarky this evening, I can't wait to see those h5 maps showing AWESOME BLOCKING and shit on the 00z GEFS later tonight and probably on the 00z EPS too.  I'm getting annoyed with them.  Its time to PUSU

ETA -- I'm not talking about the posters... I mean the models

Just now, Chris78 said:

For real S&G post the entire 240 snowfall map lol

You want Ji to lose it?

6 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

00z GFS didn't deliver, it says drive to Binghamton if you want snow. Maybe the Euro will deliver hope again. 

Well, the 00z CMC did

Just now, Chris78 said:

Cmc looks pretty good. Gfs is a dumpster fire

i66 is the 1" line.  EZF 3" line.  RIC 6" line.  Winners of 8-12" NC/VA border