yoda

Good luck all, enjoy

Afternoon LWX AFD for late next week chances Upslope snow showers will linger across the Alleghenies through Thursday before moisture is cutoff under west to southwest flow. Additional moisture arrives with a secondary Arctic front that looks to cross Thursday night into Friday. In additional to the front an area of low pressure expect to track along the boundary from the Tennessee River Valley and toward the Carolina/VA Tidewater region during the same aforementioned timeframe. The combination of these two systems could bring another round of impactful wintry weather to the region. Uncertainty still remains as some guidance has backed away on the development of this system while other guidance has a more organized wave of energy pushing through. Confidence is still low in regards to timing, intensity, and totals. Each of the deterministic model solutions and their ensembles favor a quick moving storms Friday into Saturday with another potent blast of cold air in it`s wake. The GFS, ECMWF, GEFS, and EPC all have some snow for the area while the GEM, RDPS, and CMCE do not. Of course these models are subject to change and likely to flip-flop in the coming days ahead. Will continue to monitor these changes and post additional information at weather.gov/lwx/winter. Highs Thursday will remain in the upper 30s and mid 40s with lows Thursday night in the mid to upper 20s 20s outside the mountains. Similar readings can be expected Friday with temperatures crashing into the teens and 20s Friday night into the wake of the front. 850 mb temps this weekend will plummet to 12 to 17 degrees C yielding highs below freezing on both Saturday and Sunday (teens mountains).

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1253 PM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 VAZ025-036-037-508-080200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0025.251208T1000Z-251208T2200Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 1253 PM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, with locally up to 4 inches possible along the Blue Ridge Mountains. * WHERE...Albemarle, Nelson, and Augusta Counties, and Central Virginia Blue Ridge. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 5 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will spread into the area during the early morning hours, then gradually taper off during the afternoon. With subfreezing temperatures in place, snow should easily accumulate on roadways, leading to slippery trav

18z HRRR, if accepted... looks decent for southern LWX CWA...

Still like 150 miles away lol

And yes, I know it will change next run but dang. And this is 7pm Saturday... so temperatures would continue to fall

Yes, its the 12z ICON at the end of its run, but thats some ridiculous cold for mid December. h5 looks silly Who doesn't love sub 500dm 1000-500mb thicknesses in our backyard?

It was nice knowing you @H2O

@high risk

2 already! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1248 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-503>506-508-VAZ050-051-053>057-502-506- 526-527-060200- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0024.251206T0000Z-251206T0600Z/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Orange-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Southern Fauquier-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1248 PM EST Fri Dec 5 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Light freezing rain and drizzle, with a light glaze of ice expected. * WHERE...Washington DC, and portions of central, northern, and southern Maryland, and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...In addition to light freezing rain, drizzle and fog, any melted snow will refreeze as temperatures drop back into the 20s.

Euro is interesting at 162...

Numerous spots

1.5" in Gaithersburg at 930am per EM

They reported 0.3" at 7am

Updated morning AFD mentioned more upstream Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 900 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Light wintry precipitation chances return through midday today as low pressure passes to the south. High pressure briefly returns this weekend before a strong cold front tracks across the region Sunday evening. Canadian high pressure builds in early next week before another clipper-like system nears the area by the middle of next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Steady light snow continues as of mid morning along and south of a line from roughly Franklin WV to Baltimore MD. Brief moderate snow was being observed upstream over eastern KY into southern WV. This area will pivot east-northeast with not much northward progress to where snow is being observed currently. As forcing wanes, snow will taper to flurries and end between 10AM-2PM