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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    Short range looks pretty decent for border counties tonight. Might even get a dusting in the valley (Asheville)
  2. wncsnow
  3. wncsnow
    Yep
  4. wncsnow
    Euro is trying but the wave is too weak and progressive
  5. wncsnow
    And the impressive blocking is not going to happen now. The pattern is fast and controlled by the Pacific
  6. wncsnow
    Looking at the UK- I think the Euro might have a little snow for eastern areas this run. (tidewater VA especially)
  7. wncsnow
    He is generally always pessimistic about winter weather and cold and it has served him well for the mot part.
  8. wncsnow
    Tennessee must be living right
  9. wncsnow
    The SER has ruined any small chance of snow this winter. Even with this current system.
  10. wncsnow
    Amazing how a perfect pattern progged by ensembles and Weeklies can come completely undone in a few days. We are now looking at a warm last week of February due to no -NAO and the PNA is about to flip to- while the MJO is not wanting to leave phase 7. It's about time to cue up the we need a March 93 miracle posts..
  11. wncsnow
    Modeling has gotten worse than ever. Just look at the differences in 48 hours. F
  12. wncsnow
    It does look like parts TN will get a couple inches out of this. Thanks northern stream.
  13. wncsnow
    Unless the models shift drastically, this threat is about done for.
  14. wncsnow
    With as accurate as the Weeklies have been, now I expect cold and snowy
  15. wncsnow
    I just don't know what it will take for us to get a snowstorm.
  16. wncsnow
    We can't buy a true Miller A gulf low storm track anymore. As @BooneWX said, we are seeing La Nina tendencies still this winter.
  17. wncsnow
    The UK looks different than the GFS. It has a stronger cold push around Friday night and some moisture gathering in Arkansas around Saturday.
  18. wncsnow
    You also have another piece of energy in the lake inhibited the cold air from reaching us
  19. wncsnow
    This isn't going to work. The northern energy is in northern VA and too far in front of the southern piece.
  20. wncsnow
    If it keeps trending taller it could dig enough for a phase or partial phase. I don't think this works with just northern or southern dominate energy.
  21. wncsnow
    You can see that northern energy on the GFS. Much stronger than a couple days ago
  22. wncsnow
    The ICON shows the stronger northern stream
  23. wncsnow
    The northern stream is starting to dominate the southern energy on modeling. That squashes it even though it's colder. We need a phase for us Western NC folks.
  24. wncsnow
    GFS was very close and definitely a good step as Larry said.
  25. wncsnow
    I think the MJO is playing a bigger role than some like to think. It has been in general unfavorable phases this winter.
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