wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Worst run so far so close to game time...not good. barely 2 inches here
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Hi Res Nam is concerning for here
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Latest HRRR is much better than previous runs
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The 00Z Euro shows something I have never seen here and more like the plains- It has Asheville getting down to 10 degrees or colder on Sunday night then rain/mix less than 8 hours later.
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Temps may be an issue here but I think we are in a prime spot for heavy precip with the flow direction. I'm sure there will be some surprises with this storm good and bad. I don't think your forecast is bad just think Asheville may have slightly less precip especially with this type of flow
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Where can you access it?
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Ward only has me at 1-3 in the foothills but 6 to 10 in Asheville. We'll see.
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The GFS has been bad since it was created to be honest
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I should have been more specific it had downtown AVL getting 4 to 6 inches and it didn't. I have watched the HRRR for years its not bad but not as good as the Hires Nam
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It didn't do that well for the Christmas eve storm, it had 4 to 6 inches in Buncombe when in reality it was 2 to 3.
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All of McDowell County is over 6 inches with many approaching a foot
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There's not much cold air in the extended on this Euro run lol
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It goes above freezing all the way to New York. Where's the block?
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Make that nobody
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Yea too warm and amped for most unfortunately
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Euro is about to go boom
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Classic SE flow. Blue ridge escarpment will have power issues
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Euro just crushed everyone
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UK also has a storm with lighter amounts but it's good to see some agreement
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Yep good run of the Para big snow for WNC
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It's nice that most of the short range and Hi Res models have nice solutions for us, I will say that. But until some globals beef up totals I agree with Met
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Well the NAM just gave some mountain areas over a foot
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Trends are not great here, short range models are getting closer and closer to being a mix or just rain here with the delayed timing. My expectation is less than 2 inches now for foothill areas unless you have some elevation then 3 to 4 is possible.
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GFS is suppressed
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Huntsville is usually good juju for the foothills
