wncsnow

A touch colder and south so far. May be more suppressed than 00Z

High looks a bit stronger too 

Hero comes the Euro..

Finished total of UK

Just now, Cold Rain said:

Anyone got the UK snow map?

It is suppressed not even getting much moisture into Southern VA and not near as much as other models into the triangle 

12Z FV3 hammers most of Virginia all the way up into DC and MD... Much like 6Z 

12z FV3 GFS is north

Low is closer to the coast so transitions to rain for many by 18z Sunday except NW sections

Western Piedmont sections look to be on thier way to 18 to 20 inches this run

Heavy snow at 108 for much of Western NC into the I 40 corridor. Rain in CLT but close 

Snow from AVL to Winston at 108.. wedge looks a little healthier

GFS confining snow to only mtns at 102

Odd run.. track saves marginal temps and cold air wraps around

Even warmer to me at 120

12-16 from Marion to Burlington North of I 40 to Southern VA

If only this was the Euro..

Northern NC and Southern VA crushjob

GFS is colder at surface showing nicer CAD 

3 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

weatherbell; don't think I can post b/c it's a paid site.

Thats what I figured. Thanks though, I may have to pony up and get a subscription. 

Just now, burrel2 said:

Euro Ensemble members are also back to be absurdly bullish for the upstate.  Over half of them paint >3 inches here, with a mean close to 6 inches.

Incredible that both the GFS and Euro ensemble means are roughly 6 inches here this far out. 

Where do you get ensemble numbers? 

Still impressive for western sections. Keep in mind much of this would be sleet/slop 

1 minute ago, Disc said:

Yeah. I don't need it though. That means being stuck at the office for large/unwanted amounts of time. Still lots of model watching and trends to go!

Indeed. Sure seems like our area has been ground zero for events the past 3 months though including Michael remnants and flooding to ice and record breaking rain. 

1 minute ago, Disc said:

I'm under the 30" of snow on the Euro. I'll rent my house out to the board.

I think SW VA is starting to look like the best area for heavy accumulations but its still 5+ days out, 

Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

Oh yes. You going to make the road trip back here for this one? 

Doubt it, my wife graduates Saturday from her Masters program so I will be here in SoVa. 

I think one thing to keep in mind is the timing of this. It needs to speed up a little to better coincide with the cold air/HP. If it keeps trending slower it could be just rain for about everyone.