peribonca
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Everything posted by peribonca
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The webcams at wisp are impressive. It's ripping out there hard! Can't wait to go ice fishing at DCL later this month finally
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Go big or go home!
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Wow, DC would be under that for 4+ hours... With Rates and ratios lots of forecasts would bust
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End result?
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12z long range HRRR looks pretty good.
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Still some moderate high ratio stuff falling in DC. The back edge is inching closer but some guidance doesn't have it clearing through until after 2pm (HRRR)
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Hrrr has the precip shield collapsing through Central Maryland down to almost DC in the next few hours as dry air pushes in... Only to build back a bit. Will be interesting to see if that plays out
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All snow now in Petworth NW DC. Temp 35 and dipping steadily. Expecting roads to start caving in an hour or so
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50/50 rain sleet in NW DC.
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With the winds and the rates does anyone think we can get into a blizzard warning DC/south?
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Anyone got the ukie?
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So what are people thinking in terms of wasted precipitation? Do we have white rain for a few hours 1am-3am then start sticking?
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I'm reassured now... The Gfs has been leading the way with this storm for days. Nam and icon pooped the bed but they haven't exactly been consistent
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Not too worried yet but 6z GFS also was South
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GFS so dark blue you can't see the state lines
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Amazing how getting into MJO 8 works wonders
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Trough axis neutral by the Mississippi is great
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GFS through 24 a bit better. Let's see if it holds
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Icon is a bit better. Gets precipitation up through the northern neck and into La Plata
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Now if the DC to Baltimore corridor was the bullseye 54 hours out what would the chances be that it wouldn't shift North?
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By Sunday morning we're going to hope the North trend stops
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Well at least we'll be in the game during the start of prime climo when we don't completely suck. MJO finally getting to 8 is a good sign
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Mjo Is going nowhere.... Stuck in 7 for the foreseeable future.
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Woke up to pingers hitting my skylight this am in DC. Brief sleet shower but I'll take it!
