Interesting to see the 3k nam at hr 48 with a band very similar to the localized heavy band on the EURO through central MD to the bay and on the eastern shore on tuesday. Wouldn't that be something.
NAM's, RGEM and ICON all agree on having light/moderate snow in most of maryland tomorrow afternoon into the evening. Not anything amazing in regards to the CCB but it's there. A chance for many to pick up a few more inches up to another 4-8" for northern areas.
Not going to post images but they definitely trended snowier with precip from the coastal tomorrow afternoon and night.
18z ICON gives us some nice light/moderate snow tomorrow afternoon/evening! Eastern shore looks to do well tomorrow night!
Need rates.
31/27
Not just a hobby for me. I'm a landscaper so this effects snow removal for me.
Snow started around 7:30. Quickly stuck to everything. Had a little dry spell around 9:30. Roads and even side roads clear now and rates having a hard time overcoming. Snow will not accumulate on roads with a temp of 31 and light/moderate rates. Would be a big bust for snow removal companies in AA county if this continues.
All guidance has the heavies coming in later this afternoon. So i'm still cautiously optimistic.
12z JMA through 72 hours with a precip max of 1.25-1.50 qpf for north east md/southeast pa. Has the rest of us (most of md) at 1-1.25". Using limited maps on TT.
There are still models giving many in our forum 8"+. The Euro just gave literally everyone forum wide 6-20." "Settling" for 3-6" is really on the low end of all guidance.
I'd imagine watches will go up with the afternoon update this afternoon. Tomorrow morning at the latest.
On a side note...All it took was @psuhoffman having a mini melt last night for things to start heading in the right direction again! haha!
Through 60...GFS is 1 mb weaker and smidge further south with the primary compared to it's 6z run. This results in a slightly colder surface for the WAA snow.
I think it should be pointed out that not a single piece of guidance supports a whiff. Again, the only piece of guidance that is south right now is the Euro and it bullseye's the mid-atlantic with a general 5-10".
I know we're close enough that ensembles don't carry as much weight and tend to follow the op... I'd still like to see if there is any spread within the Euro ens or if they are all pretty much in agreement with the op.