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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. It has nothing to do with stupidity..its inhumanity.
  2. It was inhuman. Theres people here including yourself who get off on this. Its ****ing gross.
  3. Wtf is wrong with people? Why are you posting here?
  4. Cross reactive t cells are not a myth. Its just being characterized in way thats incorrect. I already posted some links to one of the researchers involved in these studies. They may offer some protection from severe disease but they don't prevent infection or change the herd immunity threshold.
  5. I havent seen any evidence of this. Anti mask is associated with anti science and anti vax type thinking. Public health folks, research, and the majority of scientists are suggesting mask use. The preponderance of evidence is that they are effective at slowing down transmission. I agree on the not magic thing. Its amazing thats it october and this is still being politicized. It's ****ing exasperating and people's lives are on the line.
  6. I dont agree with the premise. I understand opportunity cost but people who are wearing masks are also more likely careful and follow other public health guidance. The people who are not wearing masks are more likely to not be following other public health guidance.
  7. Mental health issues/stress are quite high right now. That in of itself would cause productivity loss.
  8. It does in Cape Cod. Warmer than normal temperatures and below normal snow = lots of bare ground in places that don't retain snow well anyway.
  9. The researchers who saw that were specifically concerned about its effect on vaccine trials. They've also been adamant that they don't know what it means. Cross reactive T cells could lead to less mild disease, could mean nothing, or could actually make thing worse. Cross reactive T cells were then weaponized by the right who then act as if the herd immunity threshold is 20% because 50% were immune.
  10. We were able to hire and train a forecasters remotely over the past several weeks. Definitely a bit different but its gone pretty well.
  11. I tried to think about that in a context that the model thinks temperature will be considerably above normal here. So even if it has an okay 500 look...temperatures in December here are strongly inversely correlated with snowfall (Precip matters more than temps in jan thru mar).
  12. The earlier quoted 10 missed infections for every 1 found was true back in April in the hard hit areas especially, but since then the number of missed infections is more like 2-5 for every one found.
  13. CDC did a commercial lab survey over all 50 states. The results from mid August show an estimated just under 20 million infections. The reported cases at the time was about 5.5 million. Confirmed/probable deaths at that time were about 175000. So the number of exposed Americans now is probably around 9 or perhaps 10%. https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab
  14. I hadn't appreciated that both the ECMWF and UKMET have a negative NAO in December, looks quite positive for Jan and Feb.
  15. Cool, well it looks substantial the next few weeks. Maybe it will finally happen this winter...
  16. I'd be interested to see if the strength matters. Like if it's really strong blocking now, is it more favorable for winter blocking or less?
  17. Yeah, that's good work by you. It's just funny that this supposed expert didn't know that. He was making a huge deal about strong October blocking.
  18. Got to keep enough confluence over Greenland...otherwise its congrats maine.
  19. Yeah that UKMET composite is a really close match to 2007-2008
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