Tatamy

As the first wave of precip comes through the area pay attention to the dew points.  Mine went from 18 to 31 as that band of light precip came through.

I have a mix of light rain and snow falling here.  40/23.

1 minute ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I have a different take. This storm is more favorable setup for this area than western PA. Plus daytime vs nighttime. This is not a white rain event unless precip is light. 

Good luck!

I think the place to be for this event will in NY north of the Cuomo bridge and into CT.  I am looking at the 18z NAM and I think the amounts shown on the snowfall depth chart would be the ones to go with.  Anyone who is looking at 10:1 clown maps for snow fall amounts is going to be disappointed.  I just looked at a bunch of traffic cams out in western PA and every where I looked precip was not reaching the ground or was light rain (including elevated locations).  Wet bulbing will promote the changeover north of the city but elsewhere it will be mainly white rain (or a mix) and struggle to accumulate.

In NE PA you have to be roughly north and east of a line from Marshall’s Creek to Mt. Pocono to Wilkes Barre to be seeing steady light snow.  Places to the south and west of there are just mainly cloudy with some flurries in the air.  This lines up fairly well with the earlier projections from the models.

2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

If this winter’s not an F I can’t think of one that possibly could be. Flowers shooting up in mid February and bugs everywhere sitting on generously 1.5” for the season and no real threat to speak of (I don’t consider 2/28 a real threat yet where I am unless by some miracle it trends away from being another crap SWFE). Whatever takes this horse behind the barn and puts it out of its misery sooner, the better. GTFO “Winter” 22-23. 

The worms all over my driveway this morning did it for me.  I strongly agree with your sentiment.

06z GFS has me down for nearly 30” over its run.  I have earthworms all over my driveway this morning (In February?!).  I’m inclined to sell the GFS and take the worms on this one.

I came across this discussion of the Synoptics relating to the Blizzard of 96.  It provides a nice overview of the storm and contrasts it to other storms with similar impacts across the area.  
https://youtu.be/LdFl9ON-tY4

18z GFS does happy hour again.

8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

 

 

Crazy day weather wise in the Mid-Atlantic yesterday.  I was on the east side of Baltimore yesterday afternoon and encountered a severe thunderstorm.  Crazy CTG lightning with it.  Later on when I was up near Reading, PA I encountered the precursor to the storm that later dropped the tornado in NJ.   Experienced heavy rain with wet snow flakes mixed in with it.

5 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

Mine was 

1996 27 inches

2013 22 inches

2006 20.5

2011 18

 

Mine:

1978 30 inches

2016 30 inches

2021 25 inches

1983 18 inches 

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

why is it we no longer get wind advisories or high wind warnings or wind chill advisories or wind chill warnings like we used to?

 

There are gale warnings posted for the near shore waters with storm warnings for the offshore waters.  Winds at stations that I follow on WU (including my own) are gusting from 40 - 60 mph along Fire Island currently.  I believe that the gale warnings cover this.

Light rain/snow mix has turned over to light snow.  32*

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

How much did you get? I saw that you wrote cartopped?

I dont believe that 3-6 is from one event, just the overall snowcover on the ground there right now.

 

0.20”.  Lol

11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Was the map I saw posted for the southern Poconos correct? It said there was 3-6 inches of snow on the ground up near Albrightsville and Lake Harmony?

 

I can’t speak for that area so I don’t know if that is true.  Apparently some channelized vorticity combined with a weakening lake effect streamer managed to make it this far east.  Mount Holly had us at a 20% chance last night.

Did anyone else partake in last night’s car topper event?  I just looked outside and I have a thin coating of snow on most surfaces.

Snow has ended here as some drizzle.   1 1/2” new.

Steady snow.  3/4 mile visibility.  31 degrees.  3/4” new.

Snowing steadily out here.  Accumulating on grassy surfaces.

Rain has changed to snow in my area and it’s coming down heavily in some areas.

35* with drizzle.

Very interesting evolution on the 18z GFS.

1 hour ago, WX-PA said:

This is most of the 70's.80's and 90's. I think the youngsters on the board think the climate of NYC is the period from 2000-2017. It's not. 12 inch plus snowstorms became common. IN the 70's, 80's you'd be happy for 4 inches. That would be a lot.

This is so true!

2 hours ago, eduggs said:

I don't remember any winters like this. Back then there were low snow years and warm periods, but the temperature still went below freezing regularly. This winter is not comparable in that regard. 

Where did you spend those winters?

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

EXACTLY

I lived through the 80s and 90s and the past 5 years (this included) reminds me 100% of those.

I feel like 2000 through 2018 has warped the view of a lot of trackers who started this century.

90s had only 2 above average snowfall winters and a LOT of absolute torches.

80s had one winter, believe 87, where everything was south of us and we were cold, however I distinctly remember extremely warm months and almost never getting a snow day and complaining to my parents. 

In my mind, we are reverting back to the 30 year 70s 80s and 90s and it's a shock to the system. Probably how trackers felt after the snow blitz of the 1960s.

So in my mind, expecting 2 to 3 above average snowfall seasons over next ten years. 

WE WILL have another great period like this century and the 60s, just hope we do not have to wait as long!

Very strongly agree.